Leeds v Southampton predictions: Saints equipped to end their poor run
Hasenhuttl's boys have been well organised in their recent outings
Free football tips, best bets and analysis for Leeds v Southampton in the Premier League on Tuesday
Where to watch
Sky Sports Premier League & Main Event, 6pm, Tuesday
1pt 23-10 Betfred
Kalvin Phillips, Robin Koch, Rodrigo and Gaetano Berardi are out. Diego Llorente is available.
Stuart Armstrong is rated 50-50. Kyle Walker-Peters, Ibrahima Diallo, Theo Walcott, Will Smallbone and Michael Obafemi are out.
Leeds, who don't win in the absence of Kalvin Phillips, against Southampton, who don't win at all, doesn’t look the easiest of headscratchers for punters.
The temptation is to err on the side of caution and back the draw, although there is a case for preferring Saints, who are without a win in seven, at a decent price.
The essential argument is that they aren't as bad as their current form figures would have us believe. Remember this is a team who were top of the table – albeit briefly – in the autumn and who can still send out a strong side.
That side is getting stronger with one or two players coming back from injury and if you take out their horror show against Manchester United they have been pretty well organised.
For example, they were played off the park by a bright and energetic Chelsea on Saturday yet hardly offered Thomas Tuchel's men a glimpse of goal.
And they have firepower of their own now. We know about Danny Ings, who has been burdened with too much responsibility, but it looks like Takumi Minamino, who has bagged two in three since moving from Liverpool, can share the load.
Leeds concede way too many goals from set-plays – 11 is a joint league high. And Saints boast one of the best dead-ball merchants in the top flight in James Ward-Prowse, a trio of giant defenders and, perhaps unsurprisingly therefore, have scored more goals from set-pieces than any other team.
And irrespective of the notion that a team is bigger than one player, the reality is Leeds have lost five in a row minus Kalvin Phillips who seems almost uniquely qualified in Marcelo Bielsa's side to be able to play that role in front of the back four.
Leeds have lost their last five league matches in the absence of Kalvin Phillips
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