Lazio v Bayern predictions, odds and betting tips + get £40 free bets from BetMGM

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Where to watch Lazio v Bayern

You can watch Lazio v Bayern in the Champions League at 8pm on Wednesday, February 14, live on TNT Sports 1

Match prediction & best bet

Lazio or draw double chance
1pt 5-4 Hills 

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Lazio v Bayern odds

Lazio 4-1
Bayern 4-6
Draw 16-5

Odds correct at time of publishing

Lazio v Bayern team news

Lazio
Lazio will have to monitor the progress of Matias Vecino, Patric and Mattia Zaccagni, otherwise Maurizio Sarri has a fully fit squad to choose from.

Bayern
Alphonso Davies, Kingsley Coman, Serge Gnabry, Konrad Laimer, Daniel Peretz and Bouna Sarr are all missing for the visitors.

Lazio v Bayern predictions

Lazio’s last appearance in the Champions League knockout stage in 2020-21 ended with a 6-2 aggregate defeat to Bayern in the last 16 and bookmakers are expecting their latest effort to end the same way, making the German giants 1-8 to qualify.

Over the course of two legs Lazio may fall short but there are a number of reasons to believe that they can make the trip to the Allianz Arena in March with the tie still hanging in the balance.

Maurizio Sarri’s side chased home Atletico Madrid in Group E and went unbeaten at the Stadio Olimpico, holding the Spanish side to a 1-1 draw before recording wins to nil over Feyenoord and Celtic.

Lazio goalkeeper Ivan Provedel scored in the 95th minute to secure a dramatic draw with Atletico but they won the shot count 19-9 in that game, while only Serie A leaders Inter from the last 15 who have tried have been able to triumph at their Rome home.

The Eagles are a well-oiled machine on their own patch under Sarri and they have kept ten clean sheets in their last 13 matches in the Italian capital.

Keeping quiet a Bayern side spearheaded by the prolific Harry Kane will prove tougher but it is easy to pick holes in the form of the Germans' Group A-winning campaign.

Thomas Tuchel’s side dropped only two points in topping that section but four of their five wins were by a single goal and that was when chief rivals Manchester United were in a rut.

Bayern lost the shot count 20-14 in their 3-1 victory at Galatasaray while they needed an 83rd-minute winner from Mathys Tel to land the spoils 2-1 in Copenhagen, who also held them to a goalless draw in Munich.

So, four days on from being brushed aside 3-0 in a Bundesliga title tussle at Leverkusen which saw them fall five points off the pace, Bayern may struggle to claim a first-leg lead.

Key stat

Lazio have lost only one of their last 15 home games in all competitions.

Probable teams

Lazio (4-3-3): Provedel; Marusic, Romagnoli, Gila, Hysaj; Guendouzi, Rovella, Alberto; Isaksen, Immobile, Anderson
Subs: Lazzari, Cataldi, Kamada, Pedro, Vecino, Castellanos, Casale, Pellegrini

Bayern (4-2-3-1): Neuer; Mazraoui, Upamecano, Kim, Guerreiro; Kimmich, Goretzka; Sane, Muller, Musiala; Kane
Subs: Zaragoza, Dier, Pavlovic, Boey, Tel, De Ligt, Choupo-Moting, Zvonarek

Inside info

Lazio

Star man Ciro Immobile
Top scorer Ciro Immobile
Penalty taker Ciro Immobile
Card magnet Nicolo Rovella
Assist ace Felipe Anderson
Set-piece aerial threat Mario Gila

Bayern

Star man Harry Kane
Top scorer Harry Kane
Penalty taker Harry Kane
Card magnet Leon Goretzka
Assist ace Leroy Sane
Set-piece aerial threat Dayot Upamecano

Lazio v Bayern bet builder predictions

Both teams to score
Both teams have scored in ten of Lazio’s last 13 Champions League home games.

Leroy Sane to have a shot on target
The tricky German likes to get in on the action and he had 14 shots during the group stages, with seven of those efforts hitting the target.

Nicolo Rovella to be shown a card
There will be a lot of pressure on Lazio's Nicolo Rovella, who was booked in all three group-stage fixtures that he contested.

Pays out at 15-2 with bet365

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