New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills; betting tips and NFL predictions

Free American football tips, best bets and analysis for New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills in Week 13 of the NFL.

Where to watch

Sky Sports NFL & Main Event, 1.15am Tuesday

Best bet

Under 41 points
3pts 20-21 bet365

Match preview

Monday Night Football features another great showdown as the Buffalo Bills host the New England Patriots in one of the most highly-anticipated games of the season.

Patriots quarterback Mac Jones certainly hasn't looked like a rookie in leading New England to an 8-4 record. They've rattled off six straight wins, with five of those coming by at least 18 points. Will Josh Allen and Buffalo be able to halt them in their tracks? Rather than bet the spread, a play on under the points is preferred.

Buffalo's offence has regressed significantly, and Patriots coach Bill Belichick should have a plan for keeping Allen in check. Incredibly, the Pats have given up a total of just 26 points over their last four games.

Allen has thrown multiple interceptions in three of his last four matches and has been held to 6.0 yards per attempt or fewer in three of the Bills' last five - he averaged only 6.0 yards per attempt or fewer three times all of last season.

Throw in the fact that there's likely to be poor weather and wind and it's hard to see Buffalo's passing game having much success.

On the flip side, Jones is on the road into a really tough primetime environment for the biggest game of his career against a stout Bills defence. Don't expect eye-popping production from him either. Do expect to see plenty of punts.

The lowdown

Venue Highmark Stadium
Surface Artificial
Weather Chance of snow showers, 3C
Vegas handicap New England +2.5
Vegas points line 41

Key stat

The Patriots have given up only 26 points across their last four games.

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