Keith Melrose investigates the dominance of three-year-olds in the July Cup and finds an older horse to consider

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Since the introduction of the Commonwealth Cup in 2015, five of the nine winners of the July Cup have been three-year-olds – a sequence Inisherin is favourite to extend.
That could be taken as evidence for the defence of the Commonwealth Cup, which will be lucky to still have its Group 1 status by this time next year. Unfortunately, the connection would be a bit of a stretch.
Going back to 1970, 25 of the 54 winners of the July Cup have been three. With that sort of background strike-rate, getting five out of any given nine is no worse than a 6-4 chance.
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