Keith Melrose investigates the dominance of three-year-olds in the July Cup and finds an older horse to consider

Exclusive new customer sign up offers


FREE BETS


FREE BETS
Since the introduction of the Commonwealth Cup in 2015, five of the nine winners of the July Cup have been three-year-olds – a sequence Inisherin is favourite to extend.
That could be taken as evidence for the defence of the Commonwealth Cup, which will be lucky to still have its Group 1 status by this time next year. Unfortunately, the connection would be a bit of a stretch.
Going back to 1970, 25 of the 54 winners of the July Cup have been three. With that sort of background strike-rate, getting five out of any given nine is no worse than a 6-4 chance.
Read the full story
Read award-winning journalism from the best writers in racing, with exclusive news, interviews, columns, investigations, stable tours and subscriber-only emails.
Subscribe to unlock
- Racing Post digital newspaper (worth over £100 per month)
- Award-winning journalism from the best writers in racing
- Expert tips from the likes of Tom Segal and Paul Kealy
- Replays and results analysis from all UK and Irish racecourses
- Form study tools including the Pro Card and Horse Tracker
- Extensive archive of statistics covering horses, trainers, jockeys, owners, pedigree and sales data
Already a subscriber?Log in
- Deauville: will we be seeing Guineas prospects or future Commonwealth Cup contenders in pair of Group 3s?
- David Jennings' Grand National tips and runner guide
- Tackle the Grand National if you dare! For unwary punters, the famous Aintree race still carries plenty of risk
- Harry Wilson bangs in a 14-1 winner at Aintree and has more tips for every race on the card
- Watch: Grand National preview show with Graeme Rodway and Jonny Pearson
- Get 40-1 for a card to be shown in PSG vs Aston Villa with Paddy Power
- Rory McIlroy Masters odds boost: get 50-1 on McIlroy to make the cut with Paddy Power
- Rory McIlroy Masters odds boost: get McIlroy to make a first-round birdie at 50-1 with Sky Bet
- Arsenal vs Real Madrid betting offer: get 50-1 on a goal to be scored plus a £5 Free Masters bet with Betfair
- Deauville: will we be seeing Guineas prospects or future Commonwealth Cup contenders in pair of Group 3s?
- David Jennings' Grand National tips and runner guide
- Tackle the Grand National if you dare! For unwary punters, the famous Aintree race still carries plenty of risk
- Harry Wilson bangs in a 14-1 winner at Aintree and has more tips for every race on the card
- Watch: Grand National preview show with Graeme Rodway and Jonny Pearson
- Get 40-1 for a card to be shown in PSG vs Aston Villa with Paddy Power
- Rory McIlroy Masters odds boost: get 50-1 on McIlroy to make the cut with Paddy Power
- Rory McIlroy Masters odds boost: get McIlroy to make a first-round birdie at 50-1 with Sky Bet
- Arsenal vs Real Madrid betting offer: get 50-1 on a goal to be scored plus a £5 Free Masters bet with Betfair