The Punt Daily: Tom Collins' free horse racing tip on Monday afternoon

GOOD THING

(3.05 Ayr)

Lucy Normile's nine-year-old has recorded all five of her career successes over this course and distance, the latest coming off 2lb lower two weeks ago, and can make it six in this weak 0-65 handicap. Royal Duchess was well punted 14 days ago in a similar affair and proved punters correct by striking inside the final furlong having raced prominently. The small rise in the weights shouldn't be a problem given she scored off 9lb higher in the past and she should be able to get a nice prominent position once again. Annexation is the clear danger with improvement likely after just three starts, but in this case I would rather go with the in-form proven performer.

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