Eight key punting pointers to help you beat the bookies on Saturday
There are a whopping eight meetings in Britain and Ireland on a jam-packed Saturday with the terrestrial action on ITV coming from Newbury, Newmarket and Ripon. The Curragh, Perth, Doncaster, Bath and Market Rasen also host fixtures and here are statistics from each track which could help your punting . . .
Ripon
Kevin Ryan is operating at a 29 per cent strike-rate (7-24) with his horses aged four or older at Ripon in the last five seasons and backing those runners blind would have netted a healthy £48.88 level-stakes profit.
Gis A Sub falls into that age group and looks worth considering in the mile handicap (3.50) on today’s card.
He is without a win since June 2021 but was Group 2-placed as a juvenile and has slipped a long way in the weights after a string of below-par performances this year.
Curragh
Natalia Lupini is five from 15 (33 per cent) with her horses aged four or older on turf in Ireland this year and those runners produced a £13.08 level-stakes profit.
The five-year-old Alma Libre represents the trainer in the 1m2f handicap (5.10) at the Curragh and she put up a good showing when second at Down Royal last time out.
Newbury
Charlie Appleby has sent out 11 winners from his 27 runners aged three at Newbury in the last five years for an impressive 41 per cent strike-rate.
The Newmarket trainer has Imperial Emperor entered in the concluding 1m2f handicap (5.15) on today’s card.
This son of Dubawi – out of Grade 1 winner Zhukova – justified favouritism to win his first two starts before coming up short in Listed company last time. He has been gelded since then and is fitted with a first-time tongue-tie for his handicap debut.
Newmarket
Harry and Roger Charlton are four from ten with their three-year-old runners at Newmarket’s July course and From Beyond – their only entry on today’s card (4.55) – falls into this age bracket.
From Beyond failed to build on a respectable seasonal debut second when a well-held fourth at Nottingham last time, but she has the potential to improve now sent handicapping and first-time blinkers are enlisted.
Perth
Donald McCain is operating at a 52 per cent strike-rate (12-23) with his chasers at Perth in the last five seasons and backing those horses blind would have yielded a £20.93 level-stakes profit.
A Different Kind represents the Cheshire trainer in the 2m4f novice handicap chase (2.45) on today’s card and arrives seeking a hat-trick after back-to-back wins at Uttoxeter.
The six-year-old received a 4lb rise for his latest win but this looks a fairly modest affair so another success is expected.
Doncaster
Connor Planas has gained four wins from his eight rides at Doncaster and those mounts produced a £34.30 level-stakes profit.
He has a handful of chances at the track today, with Native Melody particularly interesting in the opening 1m2f handicap (2.30).
The daughter of Bungle Inthejungle looked value for further than the winning margin at Lingfield last time and represents Gay Kelleway, who Planas has ridden a winner and a third for from just two previous rides.
Bath
Clive Cox is a trainer worth following at Bath, where he has operated at a 26 per cent strike-rate with his runners in the last five years.
Backing those horses blind would have yielded a £30.17 level-stakes profit and those figures suggest that Sergeant Pep – Cox’s only runner at the track today – is well worth considering in the 5f handicap (6.40).
This Middleham Park-owned three-year-old improved for the drop back to the minimum trip when scoring at Windsor last time and a 5lb rise may prove lenient.
Market Rasen
Donald McCain has had 23 runners in chases at Market Rasen in the last five seasons and six have won for a 26 per cent strike-rate – backing those horses blind would have produced a £20.75 level-stakes profit.
Copper Fox represents the trainer in the 2m5½f novice handicap chase (7.00) on today’s card and he was not beaten far into third here earlier this season.
The six-year-old is unexposed over this trip and can have a recent Worcester fourth upgraded as his saddle slipped mid-race.
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- 'I fancy him to make the frame at a good price' - James Stevens answers the key questions for Sunday's ITV4 action
- 3.16 Gowran: 'This trip will suit her' - Sluice the obvious starting point to give Joseph O'Brien a second success in trappy handicap
- 3.05 Chantilly: will Tamfana or Dance Sequence waltz to Classic glory in an open-looking Prix de Diane?
- 4.15 Thirsk: 'This is the next step forward' - can Paborus continue his good form for Ed Bethell on his handicap debut?
- 5.45 Thirsk: 'The form of his Goodwood race is very strong' - key quotes and analysis for the big-field sprint