- More
The novice chase system shortchanges punters - here's how to redress the balance
Keith Melrose analyses the data of horses who go straight into handicap chases
When people are asked for the reasons why they prefer betting on the Flat over jumps, one of the most common answers is the uncertainty presented by taking hurdles or fences at race speed. You do not hear the inverse argument so often. The act of jumping over obstacles that vary in shape, size and approach, is one of the best ways for punters to gain an edge.
On the Flat, it can be more difficult to gauge by eye the pace at which a race is run. Cracking that particular aspect of race-reading is key on the Flat, which is why the likes of sectional timing makes more appeal to followers of that code.
Over jumps, where it is generally easier to spot a pace collapse or a dawdle to two out, how horses take the obstacles becomes the single most important part of qualitative analysis.
Read the full story
Read award-winning journalism from the best writers in racing, with exclusive news, interviews, columns, investigations, stable tours and subscriber-only emails.
Subscribe to unlock
- Racing Post digital newspaper (worth over £100 per month)
- Award-winning journalism from the best writers in racing
- Expert tips from the likes of Tom Segal and Paul Kealy
- Replays and results analysis from all UK and Irish racecourses
- Form study tools including the Pro Card and Horse Tracker
- Extensive archive of statistics covering horses, trainers, jockeys, owners, pedigree and sales data
Already a subscriber?Log in
Published on inComment
Last updated
- We know that times are tight - but racecourses really do need to step up and improve outdated weighing rooms
- The budget has heaped even more trouble on racing - and I fear many trainers will now decide the numbers just don't add up
- Why I think Cheltenham Festival handicaps need to change - JP McManus writes exclusively for the Racing Post
- No-one has ever emerged from the womb wearing a trilby - racing's future survival hangs on pursuing a young audience
- Four score and ten just a number to Peter Harris as July Cup triumph shows there's more to the elderly than medical conditions
- We know that times are tight - but racecourses really do need to step up and improve outdated weighing rooms
- The budget has heaped even more trouble on racing - and I fear many trainers will now decide the numbers just don't add up
- Why I think Cheltenham Festival handicaps need to change - JP McManus writes exclusively for the Racing Post
- No-one has ever emerged from the womb wearing a trilby - racing's future survival hangs on pursuing a young audience
- Four score and ten just a number to Peter Harris as July Cup triumph shows there's more to the elderly than medical conditions