GAA: Allianz Football League Saturday match betting preview and tips

Free GAA gaelic football tips, best bets and match previews for Saturday's Allianz National League fixtures.

Best bets

Under 28.5 points in Tyrone v Dublin
3pts 10-11 Paddy Power

No goals in Tyrone v Dublin
1pt 5-1 BoyleSports

Under 28.5 points in Mayo v Kerry
3pts 5-6 Paddy Power

Under 1.5 goals in Mayo v Kerry
2pts Evs Paddy Power

Kildare -1
4pts 6-5 bet365, Betway

Waterford
2pts 11-5 Betway

Wexford -2
2pts 11-10 general

Tyrone v Dublin

Eir Sport - Healy Park, 7.15pm

Tyrone manager Mickey Harte never needs a second invitation to revert to a less adventurous approach and last Sunday's drubbing by Galway will surely seem him return to the system which took his side to the 2018 All-Ireland final and last year's semi-final.

Harte has tinkered with a few things in the opening four rounds of the league. Some have worked, others have not, but very little went right in Tuam last Sunday as Galway taught them a lesson when it came to attacking play.

The visit of Dublin to Omagh is exactly the excuse Harte needed to go back to his usual approach, so expect Tyrone to pack their defence and try to hit the All-Ireland champions on the counter-attack.

It worked last year when the sides met in round six of the league and Tyrone won 1-14 to 1-11.

Tyrone conceded only 0-12 to Monaghan and 0-9 to Cavan at home in last year's league and their average concession on home soil in this year's league is just 12.5 points. Kerry's classy attacking unit scored 0-13, while Meath managed just 1-9.

It is safe to say Tyrone are a different proposition at home and they will relish the visit of Dublin.

The incoming Storm Jorge will make conditions tough and scores should be at a premium. Backing under 28.5 points looks the best play if the meteorologists are correct with their predictions.

Dublin have looked vulnerable in the early rounds of the league and it's a mystery how they have managed to collect three points from their tussles with Donegal and Monaghan.

Tyrone have not scored a goal in the last three rounds of the league and have raised only one green flag in whole campaign. That was against winless Meath.

Dublin have scored only one goal in each of their four outings as well so, given the weather forecast and the fact that Harte is set to go ultra-defensive, odds of 4-1 about neither side finding the net are worth taking.

Mayo v Kerry

Eir Sport/RTE2 - MacHale Park, 7.15pm

Mayo have had to make do with star attacker Cillian O'Connor for the first half of the league camapign and their forward division has looked devoid of creativity in his absence.

A fluky late goal earned them an undeserved share of the spoils against Donegal in round one, where they scored 2-13, but since then they have only managed 0-8 against Dublin, 1-9 in their narrow win over Meath and 0-12 in a nine-point loss to Monaghan.

They have averaged fewer than 11 points in their last three games, and that should not change too much when Kerry pay a visit to MacHale Park.

Wet and windy conditions should suit Mayo. It will not play to the strengths of class acts David Clifford, James O'Donoghue or Paul Geaney.

Mayo will want to turn this into a dour struggle, a survival of the fittest, just as happened against Meath in round three. If that happens, they have every chance of causing an upset.

Under 28.5 total points may just be a better bet than backing Mayo. This could be one of those games where whichever teams gets to 13 points will emerge victorious.

Kerry have scored only three goals in their four games, while Mayo have failed to find the net against either Monaghan or Dublin, so under 1.5 match goals looks likely.

Laois v Kildare

O'Moore Park, 7pm

Promotion back to Division 1 now looks beyond Kildare but the Lilywhites look great value at 6-5 to beat Laois by two points or more at O'Moore Park.

Kildare needed to get the better of Roscommon in round four to have any chance of promotion, but they were undone by a late surge from the Rossies.

After 53 minutes of that encounter Kildare were ahead 0-13 to 0-11 but late goals from Cathal Cregg and Enda Smith saw them come unstuck. Still, there were more positives than negatives to be taken from the display.

Kevin Feely was outstanding for long periods at midfield, while Adam Tyrell caught the eye too. Paddy Brophy and Daniel Flynn also scored some nice points.

Despite their sluggish start to the league, Kildare are surely a better side than Laois, and at a more advanced stage too, so therefore a comfortable victory could be on the cards. Indeed, the Lilywhites might just be the bet of the weekend. This is a game they cannot afford to lose.

Waterford v Carlow

Fraher Field, 7pm

Waterford should not be such a big price for the visit of Carlow in Division 4.

They are a better side on home soil in Dungarvan than anywhere else and could have caused a shock against promotion hopefuls Wexford but for the concession of two goals.

They were excellent for long periods last weeks against Sligo, but the layers do not seem to have given them the credit they deserve for that performance.

Wexford v Sligo

Wexford Park, 2pm

Paul Galvin is starting to get a tune out of Wexford, whereas Sligo are going into round five severely lacking in confidence, so a wide-margin home win could be in the offing.

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