2023-24 Premier League predictions and best special bets including 'without Man City' and handicap betting: England hopefuls will be eager to stand out

When does the 2023-24 Premier League season start?

Friday, August 11

Best specials bets for the 2023-24 Premier League season

T Alexander-Arnold to register most assists
3pts each-way 9-1 Betfair, Paddy Power

J Maddison to register most assists
1pt each-way 25-1 bet365, Hills

J Grealish to score more Premier League goals than J Bowen
2pts 7-4 bet365

E Ferguson to score 16 or more Premier League goals
3pts 11-4 BoyleSports

Liverpool without Manchester City
3pts 3-1 bet365

Brentford to finish higher than Everton
4pts 5-6 bet365

Best handicap bets for the 2023-24 Premier League season

Burnley +48
2pts each-way 16-1 Coral, Ladbrokes

Liverpool +12
1pt each-way 16-1 Coral, Ladbrokes

Best 2023-24 Premier League bets without the big seven

Aston Villa without the big seven
1pt 15-8 Coral, Ladbrokes

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Joe Casey's 2023-24 Premier League specials predictions

Kevin De Bruyne registered the most assists in the Premier League last season but with his long and well-documented injury history, he looks short enough at 13-8 to repeat the trick again this time around.

With most firms paying a quarter the odds for the first four places in the market, there is value to be had by taking on the Belgian.

Trent Alexander-Arnold and Liverpool had a disappointing 2022-23 campaign but the 24-year-old finished with a flourish, registering seven assists in his last 11 games.

While it remains to be seen if the defender will switch into midfield permanently, Jurgen Klopp’s experiment with that move certainly unlocked more attacking potential from the right-back last season.

With the European Championship on the horizon next summer, Alexander-Arnold will be looking to impress and at 9-1 he has a solid chance of registering the most assists.

At an even bigger price, James Maddison could thrive under Ange Postecoglou and the 25-1 about him having the most assists looks too big.

The former Leicester man registered nine assists in a failing Leicester team and Postecoglou’s system is tailor-made to give creative opportunities to the two number eights, where Maddison will primarily operate.

The England international will also be aiming to force his way into Gareth Southgate’s thoughts ahead of next summer’s tournament and is likely to be on set-piece duties for his new side.

It’s hard to get any value when backing Manchester City these days, which is why it’s a surprise to see Jack Grealish as big as 7-4 in a match bet with Jarrod Bowen to score the most Premier League goals next season. Bowen would have won the heat by a solitary goal last campaign, despite starting 13 more games than the City winger.

The departures of Riyad Mahrez and Ilkay Gundogan mean Grealish has only increased in importance for the Citizens and with a treble under his belt, he could kick on.

Brighton’s Evan Ferguson had about as impressive a debut season as is possible for an 18-year-old in the Premier League, netting ten times in 25 games in all competitions for the Seagulls in 2022-23.

Only nine players who played at least ten matches in the league last season had a better goals-per-game ratio than the Irishman and he is fancied to net at least 16 times in the upcoming campaign.

Ferguson may be on penalty duties following Alexis Mac Allister’s departure and he is as short as even money with other firms to net 15 times, making the 11-4 with BoyleSports to score one more a standout price. 

Bees can stay clear of troubled Toffees

Brentford finished 23 points ahead of Everton last season and it is difficult to see the Toffees making up that gap.

The Bees have already spent well over £50 million on new signings and Sean Dyche’s side will struggle to match that given their financial issues.

Brentford lost just two home games in the 2022-23 campaign and have developed into one of the most awkward teams to overcome in the Premier League, their top-half finish last season was no fluke.

Thomas Frank’s men were the only side to beat Manchester City home and away and even without Ivan Toney for a large part of the new campaign, they should more than have Everton’s measure. 

Liverpool had a poor season last time out, finishing outside the top four for the first time since 2015-16.

However, they are set to bounce back following their rapid squad transition this summer.

The Reds have said goodbye to Naby Keita, James Milner, Roberto Firmino and Jordan Henderson, while adding Dominik Szoboszlai and Alexis Mac Allister.

Harvey Elliott, Curtis Jones and Stefan Bajcetic have an average age of 20 and should improve after impressing last season, while Darwin Nunez and Cody Gakpo will benefit from a season under their belts.

The Reds’ core of Alisson, Virgil Van Dijk and Mohamed Salah are still top-level performers and they look the likeliest challengers to City. Take them to win the market without the champions.

Liam Flin's 2023-24 Premier League handicap predictions

Overachievers Brentford were Premier League handicap champions last season, having been given a start of 46 points on top weights Manchester City and posting 59 points of their own, with Arsenal just behind them.

Punters will be looking for someone to spring from the pack and Burnley look worth an interest. The Clarets topped the Championship handicap table last season thanks to their actual points haul of 101 and they should take little time adjusting to the top flight under Vincent Kompany.

In three of the last five top-flight seasons, the previous term’s Championship winners have gone on to place in the top half of the Premier League and Burnley have the tools in place to follow suit, having plundered 87 goals in the second tier.

Their attacking verve coupled with the fact they turned Turf Moor into a fortress last season suggests they could be in for a decent return to the big time.

With a head start of 48 points, they are an excellent bet on the season handicap.

City’s scratch status will still appeal to punters but the Citizens finished only five points clear of Arsenal in the regular table last term and they could face even more competition this time around, most notably from familiar foes Liverpool.

It was a disappointing season for the Reds last time out as they missed out on qualification for the Champions League with an underwhelming haul of 67 points – but it could prove to be an anomalous campaign for the Reds, who averaged 86 points across the five previous Premier League seasons.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have bolstered their midfield with the signings of Alexis Mac Allister and Dominik Szoboszlai and, in receipt of a 12-point handicap start from City, the Reds look value.

Aidan Perkins' 2023-24 Premier League predictions without the big seven

The Premier League used to have a big six but Newcastle’s emergence as serious top-four contenders last season now means there’s a magnificent seven in town.

Even though Brighton and Aston Villa finished above Chelsea and Tottenham, the London duo are still classed as part of the archetypal elite, so the Seagulls and Villans head what may well be a fascinating battle in the betting without the big seven.

Brighton enjoyed a fantastic season under Roberto De Zerbi, with the Italian guiding them to sixth, but with Alexis Mac Allister having left for Liverpool and Moises Caicedo also expected to join him in departing the Amex Stadium, the south coast club look weaker this time around. 

West Ham finished a difficult domestic campaign on a high by lifting the Europa Conference League trophy, but they have lost skipper and midfield general Declan Rice to Arsenal and don’t yet look anywhere near well equipped as things stand to push towards the top eight.

It would be a surprise if Brentford are able to finish any higher than ninth again, despite Thomas Frank’s ongoing excellent work with the Bees, while Everton, Wolves, Crystal Palace and Burnley will probably be more occupied with trying to ensure survival rather than thinking about challenging for European qualification.

So that leaves Villa as the side most likely to be chasing down the big seven.

Under Unai Emery’s guidance, they won their final seven home games at Villa Park to finish seventh and they have recruited well this summer with the additions of Youri Tielemans, Pau Torres and Moussa Diaby complementing an already talented squad.

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