2023-24 Premier League top goalscorer odds, best bets and predictions: Rash to oppose Haaland but Red Devils ace ready to thrive

When does the 2023-24 Premier League season start?

Friday, August 11

2023-24 Premier League top goalscorer odds

5-6 E Haaland, 7 H Kane, 17-2 M Salah, 16 D Nunez, M Rashford, 20 G Jesus, 25 R Hojlund, C Nkunku, 33 bar.

Without Erling Haaland
9-2 H Kane, 11-2 M Salah, 10 R Hojlund, 11 D Nunez, M Rashford, 14 G Jesus, 16 C Nkunku, 20 O Watkins, H-M Son, 22 bar.

Best top goalscorer bets for the 2023-24 Premier League season

Marcus Rashford without Erling Haaland
2pts each-way 11-1 BoyleSports

Gabriel Jesus without Erling Haaland
1pt each-way 12-1 Betfair, Paddy Power

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Liam Flin's 2023-24 Premier League top goalscorer predictions

Almost as quickly as bookmakers installed Erling Haaland as 3-1 favourite to win the Premier League Golden Boot upon completing his move to Manchester City last summer, the sceptics were out to voice their doubts about the Norwegian continuing his phenomenal scoring rate in England’s top flight. How wrong they were.

Haaland took no time establishing himself as the spearhead of an extraordinary City team who went on to win the treble in devastating style.

He was influential on all fronts, finishing as top scorer in the Champions League with 12 goals and netting a record-breaking 36 goals in 35 appearances in the Premier League, surpassing the previous highest total set by Alan Shearer and Andy Cole in 42-game seasons nearly three decades ago.

He was named both Premier League player of the season and young player of the season, and is now looking to become the first City player to win multiple Golden Boots.

It would take a brave, and perhaps even naive, punter to take him on and it could prove prudent to back any Golden Boot fancies in the market without Haaland.

It is easy to forget that Harry Kane finished only six goals shy of the Norwegian in the scoring charts last term given Haaland’s heroics. But with the England captain’s future at Tottenham far from assured he doesn’t appeal from a betting perspective this season.

Mohamed Salah is another star who usually figures prominently in the top scorer charts, although last season’s haul of 19 league goals was the Egyptian’s joint-lowest Premier League return since signing for Liverpool in 2017.

With the top two in the betting without Haaland passed over, Manchester United’s main man Marcus Rashford makes each-way appeal at bigger odds.

Rashford exploded into life upon his return from the World Cup with 13 of his 17 Premier League goals coming after the Qatar showpiece, and he has gone from strength to strength under Erik ten Hag.

Rashford should have plenty of creative support around him this term with new skipper Bruno Fernandes playing higher up the pitch and international teammate Mason Mount joining United this summer.

Rashford contributed 30 goals in all competitions last term and his goals against Barcelona in the last 16 of the Europa League and in the EFL Cup final showed he can be the man for the big occasion.

Rashford is now fulfilling the potential he promised in the early stage of his career and should be firmly in the mix for the Golden Boot.

At a similar price, bettors should also consider Arsenal marksman Gabriel Jesus.

The Brazil star was the Gunners’ headline arrival last  summer but played less of a role in Arsenal’s breakthrough campaign than he would have liked due to injury.

Jesus made a decent start to his Arsenal career with five Premier League goals before the mid-season break but a knee injury sustained at the World Cup kept him out of action until March.

Despite his lengthy spell on the sidelines, Jesus finished the season with 11 league goals and his average of 0.48 goals per 90 minutes in the Premier League was better than Arsenal teammates Martin Odegaard and Bukayo Saka, the same as Gabriel Martinelli, and only slightly less than one of the division’s leading scorers, Salah (0.52).

With more minutes this season and a stronger midfield behind him, Jesus could be set for a more prolific second season at the Emirates.

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