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Premier League: Wolves v Aston Villa betting preview, tip & TV details

Midlands rivals tough to separate

Joao Moutinho's Wolves team set for draw with Aston Villa
Joao Moutinho's Wolves team set for draw with Aston VillaCredit: Catherine Ivill

Football tips, best bets and predictions for Wolves v Aston Villa in the Premier League.

Where to watch

Sky Sports Premier League & Main Event, 2pm Sunday

Best bet

Draw
1pt 11-4 Sky Bet

Back this tip with bet365

Team news

Wolves
Willy Boly is out and Morgan Gibbs-White is a doubt.

Aston Villa
Jack Grealish is a major doubt after a calf injury. Keinan Davis and Jota are sidelined.

Match preview

Nuno Espirito Santo continues to insist the Thursday-Sunday combination isn’t troubling his Wolves side but as they get ready for their 24th game of the season it has to be a concern that the excessive workload might finally catch up with them.

The Old Gold’s 23rd assignment of what is going to be a truly marathon campaign was Thursday night’s 1-0 win against Slovan Bratislava, a physical, tiring encounter which all but guaranteed more Europa League action for them in 2020.

Licking their lips as Wolves – and a strong Wolves at that – went about their business on Thursday evening were Dean Smith’s Villa who head for Molineux after a welcome week off.

Wolves have played seven Premier League matches the weekend immediately after Thursday European dates and have won only one of them. That, remarkably, was at Manchester City.

They have lost only one as well, with the other five resulting in draws. And it’s the draw which looks easiest to make a case for in this game.

Seven of Wolves’ 11 top-flight matches this season have ended in stalemates. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 14.

They don’t look like a side who will blow away opponents but nor do they resemble an outfit who will be taken apart.

They suffered a mad double-header either side of the September international break when they shipped a combined eight against Everton and Chelsea. Other than that, their games have been low-scoring, their other nine fixtures producing either two goals or none.

Their only loss in 11 was at Villa, albeit it in the League Cup in a game contested by second teams.

The paradox with Wolves given their hefty workload is that they finish games much stronger than they start them. A side you would expect to wilt do just the opposite. They have led only once at half-time this season and scored only two first-half goals. They have scored 12 after the break and eight after the 73rd minute.

Villa, in contrast, have been leading at half-time six times yet finished up winning just three. They need to see out matches but they don’t seem able to do so.

Admittedly, three of those late capitulations were against Spurs, Arsenal and Liverpool. They were 1-0 up at the break in all three but went on to concede a total of eight goals, seven of which were after the 73rd minute.

They have had eight days to recover from that heart-breaking loss to Liverpool where they enjoyed little luck. Villa look a decent side who just need to start managing the second half of games better.

They would like to have Jack Grealish fit after he missed the Liverpool game and they certainly boast a central defensive duo capable of containing Raul Jimenez, who is back in the goals with four in his last five.

Key stat

Ten of Wolves’ last 12 matches have produced two or fewer goals.


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