Liverpool v Burnley predictions: free betting tips and where to watch

Free football tips, best bets and analysis for the Premier League match between Liverpool and Burnley at Anfield on Thursday.

Where to watch

Sky Sports Premier League & Main Event, 8pm, Thursday

Best bet

Under 2.5 goals
1pt 6-4 general
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Team news

Liverpool
Joel Matip looks to have recovered from a knock. Virgil van Dijk, Joe Gomez, Naby Keita and Diogo Jota are still out.

Burnley
Left-back Charlie Taylor is fit again and available.

Match preview

Burnley were the only team to avoid defeat at Anfield during Liverpool's romp to Premier League glory last season and Sean Dyche's men should have no fears going back there in this campaign.

That might sound daft given that the Clarets are not only the lowest-scoring side in the Premier League but the lowest scorers in all four divisions. However, Liverpool are also struggling in front of goal.

Struggling is a relative word, of course. Dyche would love to be struggling in the top six of the Premier League and last 16 of the Champions League and would love to be struggling through his crisis with Mo Salah, Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino for company.

But the fact is neither team are scoring goals or winning matches at present and while the bookmakers predictably won't want to be taking any chances with Jurgen Klopp's Reds, who could go goal crazy at any given moment, this might not be a straightforward affair for the champions.

There looks to be value certainly in betting under 2.5 goals at 6-4, which is a decent price given current form.

The bottom line is that Salah, Mane and Firmino aren't clicking, are quite possibly shattered, and will get little change out of a Burnley defence which is performing well as a unit.

Only a month has passed since Liverpool went to Crystal Palace and banged in seven goals, but they haven't scored a Premier League goal this year. Worse than that was the relative tameness of the efforts against West Brom and Newcastle who, like Burnley, would ordinarily represent whipping boys but this time wouldn't be budged.

Burnley have conceded only five goals in their last eight matches and never more than one goal in any of those contests.

They won't come back with much and Dyche would love to be able to give Chris Wood and/or Ashley Barnes a break because both look like they need it. But while the manager will hope to deliver at set-plays, he'll probably persist with one or both and just hope they get an opportunity or two to sling a ball into the Reds' box, especially with Liverpool still down on numbers defensively.

Four of Burnley's nine goals scored have come from set-plays while Liverpool have conceded six from them.

Liverpool's blank against Manchester United in their latest outing was an improvement on their 1-0 loss at Southampton, but it represented the first time since October 2018 they hadn't scored a goal at home in the league. And two of their last three home showdowns with Burnley have ended 1-1 – they aren't an easy team to overpower.

The feeling is Liverpool will win this, though maybe pinch a victory rather than win well. To that end, prices around 1-5 about the hosts taking three points are of no interest whatsoever.