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Why stamina and course form are still crucial - even on unusually quick ground

Tuesday: 2.50 Chepstow
Coral Welsh Grand National Handicap Chase (Run In Memory Of Kim Gingell) | 3m6½f | 4yo+ | ITV4/RTV

There is a set of numbers that would lead you to think this will be a Welsh Grand National unlike any other. They are the historic readings from the GoingStick, an imperfect but impartial measure of the state of the ground at a course.

On Monday morning the GoingStick reading given for the chase track at Chepstow was 6.5 (the scale goes from 1 for the heaviest ground to 15 for the hardest). That is the highest reading given for Welsh National day in the online GoingStick archive, which goes back about a decade.

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