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How to work out which Cheltenham favourites you would be better off avoiding

Shishkin jumps the final hurdle en route to an 11-length success at Huntingdon
Shishkin was touted by three bookmakers as their lay of the Cheltenham FestivalCredit: Edward Whitaker

Time has been scarce this winter. The workload has been so relentless that an equine reincarnation of yours truly would have long since migrated – head down, ears flat back – to the rear of his box.

The cumulative effect has left me woefully under prepared for next week's annual dust-up with the bookies, especially where Cheltenham's handicaps are concerned. Some of these markets are headed by horses I've never heard of.

That's how badly tailed off I am, so where to start in an effort to make up for lost time? It's too late to read any of the festival preview publications, and if I did it would probably be the one which will fare worst this year. Yet just when the cause seemed hopeless came the apparition of an angel of mercy.

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