Exeter set to find Harlequins a tough nut to crack

Harlequins v Exeter
BT Sport 1, 7.45pm Friday
Munster v Edinburgh
Premier Sports 2, 7.35pm Friday

Exeter have held on to their unbeaten record and top spot in the Premiership throughout the autumn internationals, but it hasn't been all plain sailing and they face a tough workout against Harlequins at the Stoop.

International call-ups used not to be a big issue for the Chiefs but their four players in the England squad to face Australia last week included three props, and with a return to European Champions Cup action next weekend, Exeter director of rugby Rob Baxter has opted to give his returning players a week off.

One of Exeter's great strengths is that they are so well coached and drilled that performance does not depend on individuals, but their November showings have not been as convincing or authoritative as earlier in the season.

Two weeks ago the Chiefs needed a last-gasp penalty try to win at Bristol, and while a 23-6 scoreline against Gloucester last week was respectable enough, a return of two tries was the lowest of the season in the Premiership after they had bagged a try-bonus points on six of seven outings.

Quins are short of a few big names too - Chris Robshaw and James Horwill are still injured in the pack - while it's a testament to how competitive this season is that they are fifth in the table with just three wins from eight.

Games involving the London side have been generally low-scoring - they have recorded two tries or fewer in six of their eight matches, and conceded two or fewer in an identical number. Quins also pushed champions Saracens closer than any other team have done, limiting them to just one try.

Exeter are sure to have to work hard and while they are rightly favourites, a close win looks the best wager.

Edinburgh's record this season reads four home wins and five away defeats, and a trip to face Munster isn't the easiest opportunity for them to redress the imbalance.

The Scottish side are given a big 27-point start, while Ospreys are 25-point favourites against Zebre in Italy.

Recommendation
Exeter to win by one to 12 points
1pt 7-4 Betfair, Paddy Power

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