NFL Week Ten predictions, odds and betting tips: Ekeler can cut down Vikings

Free American football tips, best bets and analysis for Week Ten of the 2021 NFL season.

Over 47.5 points in New York Jets at Buffalo Bills6pm Sunday
1pt 9-10 Paddy Power, Betfair

Mike Evans over 76.5 receiving yards6pm Sunday
1pt 10-11 bet365

Austin Ekeler over 102.5 rushing and receiving yards9.05pm Sunday
2pt 20-23 bet365

Kenyan Drake anytime touchdown scorer1.20am Monday
1pt 100-30 bet365

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills

6pm Sunday

The Bills offence was ice cold in their shocking 9-6 loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week Nine, but what better remedy to their attacking troubles than to face the Jets at home.

New York’s defence is statistically the worst in the NFL, according to DVOA, allowing the most points (31.4) and yards (408.1) per game on average.

The Bills offence has struggled the last two weeks but looking at the season as a whole, this is a team with the potential to explode back into life and start averaging over 33 points per game, which is exactly what they were doing at the end of October.

The Jets offence has looked better recently, scoring a combined 61 points in their two outings since rookie quarterback Zach Wilson got injured.

Mike White gets the start on Sunday and although he faces a tough match-up against a strong Bills defence, there’s the potential for the Jets to pile up the points late on.

That’s what happened against the Indianapolis Colts in Week Nine when the result was academic, helping the over cash for a fifth straight Jets game.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Washington Football Team

6pm Sunday

The Buccaneers return from their bye week in worse health than when they entered it with Chris Godwin the latest member of their star-studded attack to suffer an injury.

Godwin has missed a large chunk of practice time this week due to a foot injury and needs to prove his fitness if he's to avoid joining Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski in sitting out the trip to Washington.

Even if Godwin does feature, he’s unlikely to be 100 per cent and that should lead to a much bigger workload for Mike Evans, who has had at least 75 receiving yards in five of his last seven games.

Washington have proven a favourable match-up for wide receivers this year, allowing a league-high average of 286.8 passing yards per game, and face being carved up by Evans and Bucs quarterback Tom Brady.

Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Chargers

9.05pm Sunday

Running backs have feasted on the defences of the Chargers and Vikings this year with both teams ranking in the bottom three for average yards allowed per game.

Pairing the two together should therefore lead to the respective rushing attacks having big days with Austin Ekeler the pick of the backs to have the most yards.

While the Vikings also have a top running back in Dalvin Cook, he can be one-dimensional and is often ignored in the passing game. Ekeler is a dual-threat running back and enters this game in good form, posting over 100 total yards in five of his last seven apperances.

The Chargers like to deploy Ekeler in every attacking situation and a Vikings defence giving up an average of 140.5 total yards per game to running backs could well struggle to keep him under wraps.

Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders

1.20am Monday

With Henry Ruggs gone from the Raiders, they have a hole to fill on offence and have turned to Kenyan Drake to shoulder some of the burden.

Drake and fellow running back Josh Jacobs had an almost identical snap count in the Week Nine loss to the New York Giants, but it was Drake who was prioritised in the passing game.

He had six catches for 70 yards and received the joint-highest number of looks from quarterback Derek Carr when the Raiders got in the red zone.

Although he didn’t get in the endzone in New York, Drake had scored touchdowns in his two previous appearances and is a fair price to bag again when facing a sub-par Chiefs defence that has given up six touchdowns to running backs this year.

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