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NFL Week Five predictions, odds and betting tips: Eagles to get off to a flyer
Side with Travis to run over Texans
Free NFL tips, best bets and analysis for Week Five of the 2022 NFL season.
Best bets
Philadelphia Eagles -3 on first-half handicap
9.25pm Sunday
2pts Evs BoyleSports
Cleveland Browns +3
6pm Sunday
2pts 8-11 bet365
Seattle Seahawks +5.5
6pm Sunday
1pt 10-11 Boyles, Hills
Travis Etienne over 35.5 rushing yards
6pm Sunday
1pt 10-11 bet365
Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland Browns
Cleveland could conceivably be 4-0 heading into Week Five had they not snatched defeat from the jaws of victory against both Atlanta and the New York Jets.
The Browns' defeat at Atlanta last week saw them drop to 2-2 for the season, but as a result they may be have been dismissed too easily for Sunday's home clash with the Chargers.
LA have the stronger roster on paper but are currently missing several key players, including wide receiver Keenan Allen, who makes their offence tick, while they gave up 24 points in their win over Houston last time out.
The Texans had plenty of joy running the ball which should hearten the Browns, who boast the third-best rushing attack in the league.
Cleveland's offence ranks sixth overall in DVOA and the potential return of star pass-rusher Myles Garrett adds another string to their bow.
Factor in that home underdogs are 14-10-2 against the spread this season and the Browns look an even more appealing handicap punt.
Seattle Seahawks at New Orleans Saints
The Saints have been one of this season's biggest disappointments, dropping to 1-3 with their London loss to the Minnesota Vikings.
Their offence has been hit hard by injuries and quarterback Jameis Winston and wide receiver Michael Thomas are set to miss Sunday's visit of Seattle.
New Orleans' defence, which was supposed to be their strength, hasn’t come good yet which is bad news given the Seahawks posted 48 points against Detroit last week.
The Seahawks have been better with the ball than advertised, ranking third in DVOA and fourth in expected points per play while quarterback Geno Smith boasts the highest pass completion percentage in the league.
That offensive potency has made up for a defence with major deficiencies, but it’s debatable whether a Saints side who have been held to under 14 points twice in the last three weeks has the ability to expose those weaknesses.
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars
Few teams have been as bad at stopping the run as Houston this season and Jacksonville’s running-back tandem of James Robinson and Travis Etienne could be in for a big day in this AFC South encounter.
But while Robinson’s rushing prop line has been set at 62.5 yards, Etienne's is almost half that figure despite the pair splitting carries against Philadelphia last week. Etienne has surpassed his 35.5-yard line twice already this season and went close against Philly, carrying eight times for 32 yards.
The Texans are giving up over 172 rushing yards per game on average and the Jags favour the run, so there should be plenty of opportunities for Etienne to rack up rushing yards.
Philadelphia Eagles at Arizona Cardinals
The Eagles are the only undefeated team left standing in the NFL and a large proportion of their early success can be attributed to fast starts.
Philly have led at half-time in every game this season with their smallest advantage at the interval being the six-point lead they took into the break against Jacksonville last week.
The Eagles are averaging a league-high 23 points per half and should carve out another early advantage against slow starters Arizona.
The Cardinals have the worst first-half offence in the league, averaging a measly three points.
It’s a trend that goes back to last year when the Cardinals were 2-6 against the first-half spread at home, so it's hard to imagine them kicking the habit against the soaring Eagles.
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