NFL Week 13: predictions, free betting tips, where to watch

Free NFL picks, best bets and analysis for Week 13 of the 2020 NFL season.

Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans

Where to watch

Sky Sports NFL, 6pm Sunday

Best bet

Tennessee -5.5
1pt 10-11 general

Match preview

The run-happy Titans and Browns head into this match-up with identical 8-3 records and seemingly bound for the playoffs after three wins from their last four games. However, that’s where the similarities end.

While Cleveland laboured to a 27-25 victory over hapless Jacksonville Jaguars last week, Tennessee sent out a warning to the rest of the NFL with their 45-26 annihilation of AFC South rivals Indianapolis Colts.

Titans running back Derrick Henry rushed for three first-half touchdowns against the Colts and leads an offence averaging over 30 points a game at home this year.

Cleveland have consistently under-performed on the road, failing to cover the handicap for the 10th time in 11 away matches at Jacksonville, while no team is allowing more points per away game than the Browns’ 34.6.

Key stats

• Cleveland have covered the handicap just once in their last 11 road games.
• The points total has gone over in eight of Tennessee’s 11 matches this season.
• The Titans’ Derrick Henry is the leading rusher in the NFL this season with 1,257 yards.

LA Rams at Arizona Cardinals

Where to watch

Sky Sports NFL, 9.25pm Sunday

Best bet

Under 48.5 points
1pt 4-5 Paddy Power

Match preview

The NFC West was expected to be the most competitive division in the NFL this season and it hasn’t disappointed. All four teams could still make the playoffs with Arizona and Los Angeles having work to do after defeats last week.

Arizona have lost three of the last four with a nagging shoulder injury limiting the impact of elusive quarterback Kyler Murray, resulting in their points per game average dipping to 23.3.

Murray faces a fearsome Rams defence this week which is giving up the second-fewest yards per game.

The defence has kept the Rams on track with the inconsistent play of quarterback Jared Goff costing them at times, most notably in last week’s loss to the San Francisco 49ers.

With the quarterbacks having issues and the points total going under in eight out of 11 matches for both these teams, a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.

Key stats

• The points total has gone under in 8 out of 11 matches for both the Rams and Cardinals this season.
• Arizona Cardinals have failed to cover the handicap in their last four matches.
• The Rams are 6-0 against the Cardinals since Sean McVay was appointed head coach.

Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs

Where to watch

Sky Sports NFL, 1.15am Sunday night

Best bet

Patrick Mahomes over 305.5 passing yards
1pt 5-6 Betfair, Paddy Power

Match preview

Having had to play last week without a recognised quarterback, life doesn’t get much easier for Denver as they head to Kansas City seemingly with little hope of ending a ten-game losing run against the Chiefs.

The Broncos couldn’t be facing the reigning Super Bowl champions at a worse time with the 10-1 Chiefs having clicked in recent weeks, producing an explosive offensive display in last Sunday’s win at Tampa Bay.

Patrick Mahomes had 359 passing yards in the first half alone of that game, ending up with a season-high 462 air yards.

The NFL’s top passer has had over 340 passing yards in four straight games, while his favourite targets - Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce - have climbed into the top five in receiving yards after some strong showings in the last month.

Key stats

• Kansas City have won the last ten meetings with Denver, covering the handicap in nine of those matches.
• Denver have failed to cover the handicap in four of their last six games.
• Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes leads the NFL in passing yards with 3,947

Other Week 13 bets

Indianapolis -3.5 at Houston
2pts 10-11 general

The Indianapolis Colts were throttled by Tennessee in Week 12 but are presented with a great opportunity to bounce back at Houston. The Texans lost their best offensive weapon in Will Fuller to suspension last week and in-form quarterback Deshaun Watson can’t do it all on his own.

This is a fixture Indianapolis tend to enjoy, covering the handicap in seven of the last eight meetings.

New England to beat LA Chargers
1pt 10-11 general

The LA Chargers lost for the eighth time in ten matches at Buffalo last week, with head coach Anthony Lynn carrying the can for the defeat after some head-scratching decisions.

It seems unfair to now put Lynn up against the mastermind that is New England coach Bill Belichick, who schemed up a great plan to beat Arizona last week. The Patriots have won three of their last four and look too smart for Lynn’s Chargers.

Week 13 accumulator

Indianapolis Colts -3.5

New York Giants +10.5

New England Patriots to win

Green Bay Packers -7.5

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