LA Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs betting tips and NFL predictions: Back Bolts

Free American football tips, best bets and analysis for LA Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs in Week Two of the 2022 NFL season.

Where to watch

Sky Sports Main Event & NFL, 1.15am Friday

Best bet

LA Chargers +4.5
1pt 10-11 BoyleSports

Match preview

The best advice for Thursday night's AFC West showdown between the Chiefs and Chargers is to sit back and enjoy the show in what should be a thrilling offensive exhibition.

Both teams showcased their explosive attacking talent in Week One, when Kansas City smashed Arizona 44-21 while the Chargers beat the Raiders more comfortably than the final score of 24-19 suggests.

The smart play is to take the decent handicap start with the Chargers, who have played close games against the Chiefs in the Justin Herbert v Patrick Mahomes era and look even stronger this season.

The teams have played three games with Herbert and Mahomes starting at QB and two went to overtime while the other was won by the Chargers with a late touchdown. The Chargers' defence can be expected to put up much more of a fight than the sloppy Cardinals did against KC.

Some recent trends strengthen the case for the Chargers too. Since 2010, teams coming off Week One wins of 21 or more points, such as the Chiefs, have gone 7-19 against the handicap in Week Two - a strike rate of just 27 per cent. Last year all three teams who had won big in their opener failed to cover in the next game.

Underdogs in Week Two have covered in 54.3 per cent of games since 2005, while Herbert has a 5-1 handicap record when his team have been underdogs of more than three points. Take the Chargers to play a full part in what should be a great game to watch.

The lowdown

Venue Arrowhead Stadium
Surface Grass
Weather Partly cloudy, 26C
Vegas handicap LA Chargers +4
Vegas points line 52.5

Key stat

The Chargers have won four of their last five games as underdogs on the road.

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