Steve Palmer's Shriners Children's Open final-round preview, best bets

Where to watch

Sky Sports Golf, 10pm Sunday

Best bets

Sungjae Im to win 7.59pm threeball
4pts Evens general

Adam Hadwin to win 7.48pm threeball
3pts 17-10 Betfred

Sungjae Im without Patrick Cantlay & Tom Kim
2pts 7-2 BoyleSports

Taylor Montgomery lowest final-round score
1pt each-way 22-1 BoyleSports

Story so far

Patrick Cantlay had a putt for a 59 on the 18th green at TPC Summerlin in round three of the Shriners Children's Open, narrowly missing left before completing an 11-under-par 60 which put him atop the leaderboard.

Cantlay was tied for ninth place at the halfway stage of the Shriners, trailing the pacesetting Mito Pereira by four shots, but the Californian birdied his first four holes of round three to start a Saturday sizzler.

Further birdies came at the sixth and ninth, so Cantlay was six under par for the front nine, then he made another five birdies coming home. An eagle putt at the 16th stopped agonisingly short in the jaws of the hole and the 59 went begging, but Cantlay was thrilled with his day's work.

The world number four, a 15-2 chance at the start of the week, has become 11-10 favourite with 18 holes to play. Tom Kim, who carded a Saturday 62 to match Cantlay's 19-under-par 54-hole total, can be backed at 13-8. The leading duo tee off at 8.10pm UK and Ireland time for the final round.

Leaderboard
-19 Patrick Cantlay, Tom Kim
-16 Matthew NeSmith, Mito Pereira
-15 Sungjae Im, S.H. Kim
-14 Aaron Rai, JT Poston, Adam Hadwin, Si Woo Kim, Robby Shelton

Best prices
11-10 P Cantlay, 13-8 T Kim, 20 S Im, M Pereira, M NeSmith, 50 S.H. Kim, 80 Si Woo Kim, 100 bar

Final-round preview

Revenge is a dish best served cold, as the old saying goes, and Patrick Cantlay will be relishing the opportunity to put Tom Kim in his place after their dramatic Saturday fourballs meeting at the Presidents Cup a fortnight ago.

Kim and Si Woo Kim won a fourballs match against Cantlay and Xander Schauffele on the 18th green at Quail Hollow, before celebrating for what must have felt like an age to a stunned Cantlay and Schauffele. The Korean duo danced around the green in a style that made Gangnam look vanilla.

Cantlay shook hands and moved on, but the antics of the Kims in the Presidents Cup certainly riled a few Americans. Even when four down with four to play in the Friday fourballs against Cantlay and Schauffele, Tom Kim went bananas after winning the 15th hole alongside Hideki Matsuyama. Cocky Kim ruffled plenty of feathers at Quail Hollow.

A fascinating Sunday shootout between Cantlay and Kim lies in store at TPC Summerlin. There appears to be a total lack of respect for the elite from the seemingly fearless Kim, who clearly has the potential to become a top-five player in the world, and his duel with Cantlay will go a long way to showing what lies ahead in the year to come.

If Kim wins this, his ascent to the upper echelon of the world rankings should come sooner rather than later. He won the Wyndham Championship by five shots in August, following two Asian Tour victories, and a second PGA Tour triumph in a tight joust with the Cantlay would take Kim's career to a new level. He is only 20, bursting with talent and belief.

Cantlay is generally rock-solid in contention and he won the BMW Championship in August. The final round of the Travelers Championship in June though - when he dropped from first to 13th with a Sunday 76 - showed he can be vulnerable.

Both Cantlay and Kim have been playing down talk of this being a two-runner race - and low scores are clearly possible at Summerlin - but it would be a shock if one of the top two is not holding the trophy aloft on Sunday evening. They both in great form, swinging superbly and likely to make bundles of birdies in round four.

How to bet from here depends largely on pre-tournament positions. Cantlay was Racing Post Sport's pre-tournament headline recommendation at 7-1, so punters with a heavy investment in the American may opt for some cover on Kim at 13-8.

Anyone making a fresh position from here has a tough job on their hands. Prices of 11-10 Cantlay and 13-8 Kim seem about right - if anything, they are both too big. Nothing Matthew NeSmith and Mito Pereira has done recently suggests those two maidens will be able to overcome a three-shot Sunday deficit to make a PGA Tour breakthrough.

With an each-way investment on Cantlay at 7-1, there is no urge to play any further on the outright. Preference is for the without Cantlay and Tom Kim market, where Sungjae Im looks good value at 7-2. The defending champion has a great record at Summerlin and could be the one to keep Cantlay and Kim honest at the top of the leaderboard. Expect Im to make an early charge, prompting Cantlay and Kim to stay on the front-foot.

Cantlay first, Tom Kim second, Im third could be the end result, with perhaps Taylor Montgomery getting a place on the leaderboard, too. Montgomery, a Las Vegas man who typically carries a red-hot putter, seems worth a dabble in the lowest-round-four-score market at 22-1.

Im can boss his threeball with Pereira and S.H. Kim, while Adam Hadwin, who loves desert golf and enjoyed an ace as he found his A-game in round three, looks good value against Aaron Rai and JT Poston.

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