Look to Scotland for the one race you should not miss in Britain on Monday

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Why is it interesting?

James Tate is hopeful the "fragile" Tribal Warrior can maintain his 100 per cent record at Musselburgh when he bids to justify likely favouritism in what looks a competitive affair.

The four-year-old won over the course and distance in May last year but has run only twice since, including when scoring snugly, again at Musselburgh, on his return from a 375-day break in July.

David Allan, who rode the son of New Approach on both course victories, takes the ride again.

Muntadab won this race two years ago and was beaten only a short head 12 months ago. The seven-year-old has had a difficult time of it since and Roger Fell cannot be certain he is quite fit enough to fully do himself justice.

What do the stats say?

William Haggas has had 28 winners from 87 course runners in his career, with two winners from only five runners at the course this season. As such, Montatham must have a live chance of making it three wins from four starts since he returned to action in August.

Three Saints Bay is three from five on ground described as good to soft, while the in-form James Tate can boast a 33 per cent strike-rate over the past two weeks.

What do the trainers say?

James Tate, trainer of Tribal Warrior
He has only been to Musselburgh twice and has won both times. He's fragile, which is why we've only seen him once this year, but he's going very well at home and we are very optimistic. We wouldn't want it too soft and on good ground I'd be very confident.

Declan Carroll, trainer of Shawaamekh
He's a nice horse and trip and ground should be fine for him as he likes a bit of juice. The horses are running well, although we haven't been having a lot of luck, and he's in good form.

Tom Dascombe, trainer of Barristan The Bold and Arcanada
Barristan The Bold ought to be thereabouts. He's been running well this year and is certainly capable of winning off his mark. The track should suit, so fingers crossed. We've always thought Arcanada was better left-handed, but he has a bit of form right-handed at Windsor and we are trying something different.

Roger Fell, trainer of Muntadab
He ran well first time out this year at Thirsk, but he broke his jaw afterwards at home, just being stupid, so we had to wire it up. It then got infected and he nearly died. Everyone here loves him to bits, as he's such a saint, and we got him back, but he's only had two runs since and so might still just need it. When I looked at him first time back he looked fat, and then second time he still looked a bit fat but ran better. He's a happy horse who still wants to do it, and this is his time of year. He's well drawn for making the running, but I'm just worried he might get tired late on.

What do our tipsters say?

The improving Tribal Warrior is unbeaten in two starts at this track but he will have something to prove if the ground doesn't dry out. Preference is for Shawaamekh, who won competitive handicaps on soft/good to soft this summer. The unexposed Montatham is respected and Barristan The Bold is also in the mix.
Steve Boow

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