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'He's exceptional value at 33-1' - Goodwood and Galway advice and best bets

Welcome to the Punting Club! Unlike most clubs there's no joining fee or annual charge, and the only criterion for being part of the gang is simple: an appreciation for punting and an enthusiasm for chewing over the big talking points.

Before the big meetings we – that's Punt regulars Maddy Playle, Owen Goulding and Mark Boylan (excused this week!) – will answer your questions on the big-race action, share our best bets . . . and ruthlessly highlight the flaws in each other's arguments.


What are the panel’s thoughts on the outcome of the Stewards’ Cup (3.20 Goodwood, Saturday)? Stephen Marks

Maddy I'll be waiting to see the final field and draw before I make my cast-iron suggestion but I've had my eye on Saint Lawrence for this race. Whenthedealinsdone was really well backed for this last week after an eyecatching run at Ascot recently and while I think he can run very well, Saint Lawrence has a similar profile after running well in some Graded races and is a much bigger price. Admittedly, he didn't finish very well in the Hackwood behind Minzaal on his last start but the race transpired against him a little there and I think he raced on the wrong part of the track. Twice a winner over seven furlongs, a fast six furlongs should be right up his street and yet he still ran a belter to be sixth in the King's Stand last month. This will be his first start in handicap company since last April and I can see him running a huge race. He's a sound each-way selection at 25-1.

Saint Lawrence: 'A sound each-way selection at 25-1' for the Stewards' Cup
Saint Lawrence: 'A sound each-way selection at 25-1' for the Stewards' CupCredit: Alan Crowhurst

Owen As Maddy said, it's hard to make a confident shout at this stage without knowing the draw. The market is siding with the in-form types such as Inver Park, Lethal Levi and Mr Wagyu, but I think there's plenty of value elsewhere. The one who deserves a slice of fortune is Tabdeed, who had everything go wrong in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot and was then drawn on the wrong side back at Ascot last time. He will relish a return to 6f on this occasion and is exceptionally well-treated on the best of his form when trained by Owen Burrows. A strong pace will help matters and at 33-1, I think he's exceptional each-way value.

Hello all! I don't like to bet in two-year-old races and/or sprints, and/or at short prices a week before the race BUT Rocket Rodney at 11-8 wins the Molecomb (3.00 Goodwood, Wednesday), no? He’s a course-and-distance winner and was second in what has turned out to be a red hot Windsor Castle. With a clear run I struggle to see this one beaten! Daniel Woodhouse

Maddy I'm the same Daniel, I don't tend to bet short prices, but you could certainly argue Rocket Rodney could be shorter still after his Windsor Castle and Dragon Stakes runs have been boosted. It's hard to be confident though, and I think Trillium is quite interesting back down to five furlongs.

Owen As my Owen's Outsiders column would suggest, short prices don't tend to interest me. Rocket Rodney has been impressive the last twice and the form has been given an uplift through Little Big Bear and Eddie's Boy. I think he's probably the right price, but I'll go against him with Thunder Moor. The form of his York success has taken plenty of knocks, but he was drawn poorly in the Norfolk and is far better than that. Provided he gets a draw that allows him to use his speed, he has an each-way chance.

The Sussex Stakes (3.35 Goodwood, Wednesday) is always a great race and Baaeed is a worthy favourite but I have a feeling something can put it up to him. What are the panel’s views?Lee Wainwright

Maddy Perhaps it's just because I have such a high opinion of him, but I was expecting a bit more of an explosive performance from Baaeed at Royal Ascot. If I was having a bet I think I'd go for Alcohol Free, who can be backed at 10-1. She was an easy winner of the race last year and bounced back to form to win the July Cup in electric fashion, and I think she's being underestimated.

Baaeed (Jim Crowley) wins the Queen Anne StakesRoyal Ascot 14.6.22 Pic: Edward Whitaker
Can anyone serve it up to Baaeed in the Sussex Stakes?Credit: Edward Whitaker

Owen Baaeed didn't showcase that explosive turn of foot in the Queen Anne, but he did what was required and Jim Crowley never really asked for much. With Coroebus out, there is just two places on offer, which is massively frustrating. That being said, I'll be siding withModern Games, who is still a crazy price at 25-1 with Paddy Power and Betfair. He was hugely progressive last season, ending the campaign with a Breeders' Cup success on firm ground. Connections have played around with trips this season and his sole victory came in a French Group 1 over the mile, so I'm glad to see him back at this distance. I'm also glad to see a lack of rain in the forecast and he has surely been underestimated, as he has the class to play a hand with the trip and ground in his favour.

As someone who doesn’t pay too close attention to Irish racing, who should I be considering for the Galway Hurdle (5.05 Thursday) and the Galway Plate (6.40 Wednesday)? Ethan James

Maddy I've got to be honest Ethan, I'm the same at this time of year. Both of those feature events look ridiculously competitive so I'll pass over to Owen on this one!

Owen Both races are very tricky punting puzzles but perhaps trends can help us pick out the Galway Hurdle winner. Tony Martin has an outstanding record in the race, winning it on three occasions, and his 2019 winner Tudor City is back for another go. He's now a ten-year-old, but he won the 2019 renewal off a mark of 139 and he's 3lb lower this time around. He enjoyed a confidence boosting win at Punchestown in May and ran well on the Flat at the Curragh last month, so Martin should have him just right for another huge effort. In terms of the Plate, I'll side with the staying power of British raider Exelerator Express. He arrives on the back of some solid runs, latterly when third in the Perth Gold Cup, and I think he has a big handicap prize in him – especially in a race that will be run to suit.

The Goodwood Cup (3.35 Tuesday) should be a cracker - Kyprios looked good at Ascot but do you think Stradivarius is good value to turn the form around at a track he loves? Matt Wood

Maddy I've tried to take on Stradivarius throughout his career, but I find myself agreeing with you, Matt. I don't think he was seen to best effect in the Gold Cup - that ride was highly criticised - and he is unbeaten in four runs in this race. This undulating track can put the emphasis on speed, which he has plenty of, and the ground should be ultra quick, which he likes as well. Come on Stradivarius!

Can Stradivarius reverse the Ascot form with Kyprios to land a fifth Goodwood Cup?
Can Stradivarius reverse the Ascot form with Kyprios to land a fifth Goodwood Cup?Credit: Edward Whitaker

Owen I've also taken Stradivarius on for most of his career and although he has an excellent chance back at his favourite venue, I'm not going to break my habit! Kyprios looked good when winning the Gold Cup but he is far too short for me and with three places on offer, I'll take a chance on Away He Goes. His career best RPRs have come on the two occasions he's tackled 2m and he remains unexposed over this trip. He lacks the class of some of these, but he's a real trier and I know how much Ismail Mohammed rates this horse. 50-1 is a price that I can certainly get behind!

What’s your best bet for Goodwood or Galway at double-figure prices?Ben Waudby

Maddy I think Internationalangel is a big price for the Oak Tree Stakes (2.25) on Wednesday. She's only a couple of pounds off being top rated yet is 16-1. She had excuses for her poor run last time as she was slowly away and I think this track will suit her, as she has a sharp turn of foot. There doesn't look to be a star in this race and Jane Chapple-Hyam continues to excel with her runners in Pattern races.

Owen I wouldn't say I have a "best bet" at this stage, but Embourhas an excellent chance in Tuesday's 5f handicap (4.10). He's been out of form this season, but he's fallen 8lb below his last winning mark as a result and his latest third at Catterick was better than the bare result suggests. A strongly-run 5f should prove ideal for him and on his second start since wind surgery, he could be in the perfect place to pounce. In terms of Galway, I'll stick with Tudor City in the Galway Hurdle, as Tony Martin has perfected the art of preparing runners for that race.


If you want more on Glorious Goodwood and Galway...

Coroebus misses Baaeed clash in Sussex Stakes following late setback

Baaeed the star attraction as Goodwood and Galway festivals dominate action

'He has the perfect profile' – why these horses can win at Goodwood or Galway

Confirmed runners and riders for the Al Shaqab Goodwood Cup

Fantastic four: assessing the key contenders for a heavyweight Goodwood Cup

Glorious Goodwood 2022 guide: the key races, horses and how to watch


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Published on 25 July 2022inNews

Last updated 14:15, 25 July 2022

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