TippingSaturday Sizzlers

'She's been a massive improver upped in trip' - Paul Kealy with seven Saturday selections

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Jetara
1.20 Leopardstown
2pts win

Peaches And Cream
2.15 Musselburgh
1pt win

Music Of Tara
3.00 Leopardstown
1pt each-way with firms paying six places

Shanbally Kid
3.00 Leopardstown
1pt each-way with firms paying six places

Transmission
3.10 Sandown
1pt each-way with firms paying four places

Certainly Red
3.45 Sandown
1pt win

Moroder
3.45 Sandown
1pt each-way

There's a feast of quality racing for punters to get stuck into in Britain and Ireland, with pride of place going to day one of the Dublin Racing Festival and Galopins Des Champs' bid to gain revenge over Fastorslow in the Paddy Power Irish Gold Cup (3.35).

Only two of Leopardstown's races are on ITV3 and while the reigning Gold Cup holder will get all the attention, I'm far more interested in punting on the preceding Race And Stay At Leopardstown Handicap Hurdle (3.00).

I'll be having a couple of cracks at this 24-runner 3m½f heat, the first being Music Of Tara for Henry de Bromhead.

This Kayf Tara mare has run three times at Leopardstown, recording a staying-on sixth of 21 in a 2m maiden hurdle in December 2021, a nearest-at-the-finish third over 2m4f in handicap company a year later, and winning that same race this season.

All the seven-year-old does is stay, which is what you'd expect given her sire and the fact her dam was a 3m-winning half-sister to Ultima winner Beware The Bear, and surely this step up in trip is going to bring out more in her.

Willie Mullins supplies the favourite in Fine Margin, who was an excellent second to the gambled-on Slate Lane at Haydock last time, but I'm far more drawn to his other runner Shanbally Kid.

He's back over hurdles after appearing to hate every minute of chasing at Navan in December and if it wasn't for that distant fourth, he'd surely be one of the favourites.

As a novice last season, he was a commanding near-two-length winner from Monty's Star off level weights over 2m4f at Navan, and that one was given a mark of 139 (will be much higher over fences when given a rating) for beating Hiddenvalley Lake in a Grade 3 next time.

Shanbally Kid was well beaten in the Albert Bartlett, but you can't hold that against him given he'd gone in lightly raced and straight from maiden company and there has to be every chance he's very nicely handicapped with a mark of just 133.

Of the Grade 1 races at Leopardstown, the one that interests me most from a betting perspective is the Nathaniel Lacy & Partners Solicitors Novice Hurdle (1.20).

Mullins, surprise, surprise, saddles the first two in the betting, but Predators Gold looks short enough having been firmly put in his place by the admittedly very promising Caldwell Potter last time.

There's every likelihood the son of St Leger winner Masked Marvel will be more at home going markedly up in trip, but, as things stand, he's not miles clear of some of his fellow geldings and it's easy to argue his form is not as good as that of the mare Jetara.

Out of a sister to Champion Hurdle winner Jezki, Jetara has been a massive improver upped in trip for Jessica Harrington this season, winning her last three starts by an aggregate of nearly 30 lengths, including a Listed race and a Grade 3.

She was never stronger than at the death over 2m4f here last time and looks the value to make the most of her 7lb sex allowance.

The rest of my punting is going to be done in Britain, predominantly in the two big handicaps at Sandown.

Joe Anderson must have secured ride of the season honours for his effort to get back in the saddle and win on Transmission after hanging off the horse's neck at Plumpton last time, and the pair are reunited in the Virgin Bet Heroes Handicap Hurdle (3.10).

Given the mistake he made and the fact Anderson needed more than half a circuit to get his irons back, Transmission did well to win in such commanding fashion and should be competitive after a 6lb rise.

That was Plumpton's most valuable race and it has worked out really well, with near seven-length third Ramo going down by a neck in another decent race to a well-backed winner at Lingfield's Winter Million meeting, and 12-length fourth Annual Invictus winning the Great Yorkshire Chase at Doncaster last weekend.

West Balboa, who went off 3-1 favourite for the Long Walk Hurdle last time but failed to run her race on ground probably too quick, is the one I fear most back in handicap company on soft ground.

I latched on to Certainly Red in the Virgin Bet Masters Handicap Chase (3.45) earlier in the week and while he's a much shorter price now, that's because only ten of the 24 five-day entries were declared.

He has run very well every time he has run at Sandown, winning over 2m4f in January last year, running a creditable seventh in the bet365 Gold Cup, and then finishing third in the London National in December.

Certainly Red wasn't so good last time, but his Newbury fifth actually represented easily his best run on a left-handed track and he's going to be much happier around here.

I will also throw a couple of quid at Moroder, who is the complete outsider despite being on a slightly lower mark now than when second to Kitty's Light in last season's bet365 Gold Cup.

Admittedly, he deserves to be a big price on what he has done since, but he ran well for a long way at Kempton last time before eventually finishing last, with connections saying he made a respiratory noise.

Hopefully, the first-time tongue-tie will do the trick and he'll see his race out, as he's certainly well enough handicapped to play a hand in what is not a brilliant race.

Finally, Gavin Cromwell will no doubt be on duty at Leopardstown, but I think he has the winner of the bet365 Edinburgh National (2.15) at Musselburgh in Peaches And Cream.

A perfectly respectable fifth to stablemate Malina Girl at Cheltenham in November (race worked out nicely), Peaches And Cream last ran over a trip similar to this at Punchestown in April and sauntered home by 11 lengths.

He's a proper stayer and as long as the ground isn't too deep (seems best on good), he should go close to boosting Cromwell's excellent 27 per cent strike-rate with chasers in Britain this season.


Read these next:

The Punt Acca: Liam Headd with three horse racing tips at Leopardstown and Sandown on Saturday   

Saturday's free racing tips: six horses to consider putting in your multiples   

Paul Kealy's play of the day at Leopardstown   


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