The Punt Daily: Tom Collins' free horse racing tips on Saturday afternoon

EYECATCHER

(2.23 Newmarket)

Noble Dynasty and Greatgadian are sure to be popular in the market given their connections, but they have to give 11lb and 9lb respectively to a similarly-progressive type in State Occasion, who looks the value play at around 4-1. This full-sister to Winter Derby winner Forest Of Dean is yet to prove herself on ground with cut, but she wasn't beaten far on her first two starts this term and shaped like the best horse here last time. She didn't seem to stay 1m2f that day and the drop back to a mile could be rewarded with a victory.

DARK HORSE

(2.30 Wetherby)

This ten-year-old is either hot or not over his fences and bad mistakes have seen him fall three times and throw away at least one more chase in his career. It could be an inspired move to switch Master Tommytucker back to hurdling by trainer Paul Nicholls and given his excellent record fresh (11F1F2 after breaks of 50 days or longer), now might be the time to catch him. It's worth remembering that he's unbeaten in two starts over hurdles, albeit against weaker opposition.

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