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Might pay to look towards the bottom of the weights

Number one: Pineau De Re and Leighton Aspell after their Grand National triumph
Pineau De Re: 2014 winner of the Grand National was only one of three French-bred winners in the last 50 yearsCredit: Grossick Racing

Key trends

  • Won over at least 3m, nine winners in last ten runnings
  • Officially rated 137-157, 9/10
  • Aged nine to 11, 9/10
  • Between three and six runs since the start of August, 9/10
  • At least one top-three finish in last three runs, 9/10
  • Finished in the first three in a race over at least 3m2f, 9/10
  • Won chase worth at least £29,000, 8/10
  • No more than one win that season, 8/10
  • Achieved best RPR within previous 12 months last time out, 7/10
  • Carried no more than 11st, 7/10
  • Ran between ten and 14 times over fences, 7/10 (all exceptions had between 23 and 27 chase starts)

Other factors

Although low weights had been favoured for quite some time, the handicapper has done a fine job in giving a chance to those at the top of the weights, with three of the last ten winners carrying 11st 5lb–11st 9lb.

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