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Low draw could be a crucial clue to finding the winner of the Arc

Kevin Morley assesses the essential data

Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe

3.05 Longchamp

Key trends

  • Distance winner, ten winners in last ten runnings
  • Aged three or four, 10/10 (six were three-year-olds)
  • Group 1 winner, 9/10
  • Adjusted RPR of at least 131, 9/10
  • Top-three finish last time out, 8/10
  • Drawn in single figures, 7/10
  • Won at least half their starts that season, 6/10
  • Won a Group race last time out within last two months, 6/10

Other factors

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