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Experience and pedigree key to finding winner

Kevin Morley analyses the data

JCB Triumph Hurdle, March 15

Key trends

  • Last ran between 19 and 55 days ago, ten winners in last ten runnings
  • Won at least 50 per cent of hurdle races, 9/10 (exception still a maiden)
  • Top-three finish last time out, 9/10 (six won)
  • Adjusted RPR of at least 150, 9/10
  • By a Group 1-winning sire, 8/10
  • Ran two or three times over hurdles, 7/10

Other factors
Zarkandar is the only once-raced hurdler to win in the past 30 years.

Five of the last ten winners were undefeated over hurdles.

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