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Course and distance form to come to fore in Chepstow marathon

Mountainous (Jamie Moore)and Kerry Lee (r) after winning the Welsh NationalChepstow 9.1.16 Pic: Edward Whitaker
Mountainous won the 2015 Welsh National under Jamie Moore for Kerry LeeCredit: Edward Whitaker

Key trends

  • Aged six to eight, nine winners in last ten runnings
  • No more than two runs since the start of September, 8/10
  • Won over at least 3m, 9/10 (exception placed in this race previously)
  • Top-four finish last time out, 8/10
  • No more than ten runs over fences, 7/10
  • Carried no more than 10st 8lb, 7/10
  • Officially rated 131-137, 6/10
  • Previous Chepstow winner, 6/10 (All exceptions having their first run at the track)

Other factors

All bar one of the 90 runners aged nine or older were beaten.

Three winners had run in the race previously and all had won or been placed.

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Head of data (technical & development)

Published on inHorse racing tips

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