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Horse racing tips

US expert Tom Collins thinks it will be Gaffalione's turn to boss on Sunday

Island Song
6.24 Gulfstream Park
2pts win

Wild Medagliad'oro
8.23 Gulfstream Park
1pt win

Projected
9.55 Gulfstream Park
2pts win

No jockey has a better strike-rate at Gulfstream Park since the start of the current meeting on April 2 than Tyler Gaffalione, who has ridden 23 winners from 96 rides (24 per cent).

The 25-year-old is one of the best young riders in the country and has shown the ability to record multiple winners on dirt and turf surfaces and he looks to have a stellar book of rides on Sunday.

He can get his meeting off to a flyer aboard the Eddie Kenneally-trained Island Song in the second race, a $25,000 maiden claimer (6.24) run over six furlongs.

A son of Speightstown who cost $95,000 as a yearling, Island Song is yet to reward his powerful connections, who have witnessed Island Song finish in the places on six of his nine outings.

Island Song, a consistently sharp worker at Palm Meadows Training Centre, began his career in maiden special weight contests at this venue (placed on both starts) before being tried at Keeneland, Ellis Park and Churchill Downs, where he ran to the same kind of level.

Kenneally dropped him in class two starts ago to maiden claiming company and after a surprisingly poor effort at Keeneland, he returned to Gulfstream with a very unlucky second last month.

Island Song was well fancied despite returning from a layoff and he travelled well under Joel Rosario, who made a poor decision turning for home. Rosario decided to round one of the fading pacesetters, who hung to the middle of the track and cost Island Song multiple lengths and momentum.

He had to regather his stride in the straight and picked up well for asking, only to be denied by Ohanzee who had a much easier trip under Paco Lopez.

That effort came over 5f but he is already proven at this longer distance and should benefit from the rider change and good draw this time around. He should finally get off the mark.

One of the most interesting runners on the Gulfstream card is Wild Medagliad'oro, who will be partnered by Gaffalione in the $41,000 allowance optional claimer (8.23).

Mark Casse's colt has clearly had his problems as he will be making just his third start since November 2018, and his first since May last year, but he clearly has an abundance of ability and hopefully he can return in the same form as when last seen.

Wild Medagliad'oro showed promise early in his career when second on his first couple of outings in maiden special weight contests at Saratoga – the second of which he was only beaten a length and a half by subsequent Grade 1 Jockey Club Gold Cup Stakes and Travers Stakes winner Code Of Honor.

It took him another four efforts to finally get off the mark, but he was pitched into the best maidens in the country and his victory was a game display from the front at Belmont Park last year.

The form has worked out well too, with the second (twice), third (once) and fifth (twice) all winning since.

Wild Medagliad'oro hasn't been seen on the track for nearly a year but has been working well this month, gets the assistance of Gaffalione and has drawn well in gate one. Hopefully he will break sharply and it will be game on from there. If he's the same horse as last year then he will win comfortably.

The final selection is also ridden by Gaffalione in the shape of Projected, who goes in the $20,000 claimer (9.55).

Another to have found the inside gate, Projected began his career with Andre Fabre in France and notched four victories before being sent stateside.

He made an almost instant impact in the US with a couple of early successes, including a valuable score in the Grade 2 Baltimore/Washington International Turf Cup Stakes at Laurel Park in 2017, but has clearly regressed in the last couple of years.

Indeed, that was his most recent success with his losing streak now stretching to 15 over the last two years. He hasn't lost all of his ability, though.

Projected has been luckless recently, especially last time when dropped into a valuable claimer here. He was well fancied that day under Gaffalione but was boxed in for almost all of the contest and was allowed to coast home at his own speed having never been pressured.

He was definitely the best horse that day and the star rider will be desperate to make amends today. I doubt he will be sticking to the rail in the stretch, that's for sure.


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