The Evening Punt: Tom Collins' free horse racing tip on Thursday

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Arlecchino's Arc(8.00 Chelmsford)

Three-time winner from 28 starts, recording all of his victories over this course and distance, the latest coming by a decisive margin off a mark of 55 in December. Went up 3lb for that score and hasn't run badly in two starts since at different tracks, but the handicapper has relented since his last outing, dropping him down to a mark of 57. Returns to his favourite venue now, has a good draw in the middle of the pack and David Probert, who has form figures of 110234 when partnering Arlecchino's Arc, retains the ride. It's hard to imagine him finishing outside the first three.

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