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Big-race trends: previous festival runners have strong record

Brown Advisory Novices' Chase

2.10 Cheltenham, March 15

Key trends

  • Contested a Graded chase, ten winners in the last ten runnings (six won)
  • Top-three finish last time out, 9/10 (exception fell)
  • Ran at least three times over fences, 9/10
  • Six to 12 hurdle and chase runs, 9/10
  • Aged seven or eight, 9/10
  • Adjusted Racing Post Rating of at least 165, 8/10
  • Rated within 5lb of RPR top-rated, 8/10

Other factors

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