Keith Melrose analyses the credentials of four favourites in the US

Sugar Bolt
7.07 Gulfstream
SP forecast 2-1

Only seventh when last seen in December, but had been in a rich vein of form before that. She won here in September and had recorded good speed figures when second at this sort of level in earlier runs last year. Nothing in the field could live with her if she was on her game and recent track work has been solid, if not spectacular.

Conclusion Worth chancing given the extent to which she is punching down.

Sweden
8.43 Gulfstream
SP forecast 2-1

Holds solid claims on her best figures and has been consistent enough to make the frame on three of her last four starts. Recent workouts have not been all that, though, and others have form that can match her level, on the strength of fewer runs, too. It is something of a surprise she is favourite in a race where many of the big players also have legitimate contenders.

Conclusion Easy enough to oppose at projected odds.

Yodel E A Who
9.46 Gulfstream
SP forecast 2-1

Boasts a solid winning record, with five successes from 17 runs. All but one win have come at this level and he has been showing form in the same ballpark as his best right up until he was sixth here last month. Kept on the easy list since, perhaps as a result of a couple of earlier hard races. Will take plenty of beating here if back to his best.

Conclusion In the form of his life, all told.

Frosted Grace
10.17 Gulfstream
SP forecast 7-5

This Kentucky-bred has shown himself as good as ever in two runs in 2020, placing in two races at this sort of level. Showed loads of dash over the slightly longer 6.5f here on the first of those occasions, when returning a career-best speed figure. Now gets a chance to show what he can do from an inside stall in a small field.

Conclusion The likeliest winner.

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