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Group form and low weight key to successful Melbourne Cup challenge

The Melbourne Cup will be run at Flemington on November 5
The Melbourne Cup will be run at Flemington on November 5Credit: Michael Dodge

Lexus Melbourne Cup

4.00 Flemington, November 5

Key trends

  • Winner of a Group or Graded race, ten winners in last ten runnings (one was a Grade 1 winner)
  • Had won over at least 1m4f, 10/10 (only two had won over 1m7½f)
  • Carried no more than 8st 9lb, 9/10
  • Top-four finish last time out, 9/10 (four won)
  • Aged three to five, 8/10 (based on northern hemisphere ages)
  • Bred outside Australia and New Zealand, 8/10
  • Highest previous RPR between 114 and 123, 7/10
  • Drawn between four and 17, 7/10

Other factors

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