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Horse racing tips

Evening Angles: trainer stats, RPRs and a yard to note with newly gelded horses

The scene at a floodlit Kempton on Wednesday night
Kempton: racing on Friday eveningCredit: Edward Whitaker

Using the Racing Post's unrivalled bank of stats, we pick out three horses to back tonight based on trainer form, RPRs and, tonight's wild card, a gelding operation.

Trainer


6.15 Kempton
Angle: Hugo Palmer has a 29 per cent strike-rate over the last fortnight

Hugo Palmer enjoyed Kempton success with Collide on Wednesday night and saddles two at the track tonight, including the Al Shaqab-owned Ghaith.

The son of Invincible Spirit was a promising third on debut last month and, despite showing signs of greenness, was only beaten two lengths behind Velvet Morn.

Partnered by the in-form James Doyle, the gelding is surely capable of better and can put that experience to good use this evening.

Ratings


6.45 Kempton
Angle: produced a career-best RPR last time

The Archie Watson-trained Probability bids for a hat-trick following a career-best performance over course and distance last time out.

The daughter of Moohaajim made all for a three-quarter-length success and was subsequently given an RPR of 84 for her efforts.

She looks to be a filly on the up and there has to be every chance of further improvement to come. Eddie Greatrex, who has partnered her to two of her three successes, takes the ride once again.

Wild card


8.15 Kempton
Angle: Amy Murphy operates at 14 per cent with horses running for the first time since being gelded

Georgearthurhenry has been well beaten in three starts to date but returns to the track following a gelding operation in February.

Amy Murphy, who enjoyed a first Grade 1 success with Kalashnikov at Aintree last week, operates at a 14 per cent strike-rate with first-time geldings and this three-year-old may have more to offer this season.


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Bloodstock journalist

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