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Drop in trip can lead to big improvement from promising novice hurdler

Credit: Edward Whitaker

Ain't My Fault
12.20 Carlisle
1pt each-way at 14-1

Earlofthecotswolds is by far the most likely winner of the Smarkets Betting Exchange Novices' Hurdle at Carlisle (12.20) after his encouraging hurdles debut at Market Rasen.

However he didn't jump that well and is long odds-on so it makes sense to back something at a big price against him each-way. The one who best fits the bill is Ain't My Fault, who clearly didn't stay 2m4f last time.

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