Porto v Arsenal predictions, odds and betting tips + get £40 in free bets from BetMGM

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Where to watch Porto v Arsenal

You can watch Porto v Arsenal in the Champions League at 8pm on Wednesday, February 21, live on TNT Sports 1

Match prediction & best bet

Over 2.5 goals
2pts Evs general

You can bet on Porto v Arsenal here and get £40 in free bets with BetMGM

Porto v Arsenal odds

Porto 9-2
Arsenal 4-6
Draw 11-4

Odds correct at time of publishing

Porto v Arsenal team news

Porto
Canadian midfielder Stephen Eustaquio is a doubt while defenders Zaidu Sanusi and Ivan Marcano are sidelined with knee injuries. Iranian international Mehdi Taremi is back in contention.

Arsenal
Fabio Vieira and Thomas Partey are back in training and could return to the bench. Gabriel Jesus, Oleksandr Zinchenko and Takehiro Tomiyasu did not return to training on Tuesday morning and are set to miss out alongside long-term absentee Jurrien Timber.

Porto v Arsenal predictions

Arsenal have silenced their doubters with five straight Premier League victories, firing home 21 goals along the way, and that rich vein of scoring form should ensure a lively start to their Champions League last-16 encounter with Porto at the Estadio do Dragao.

Many felt that a lack of firepower would be Arsenal’s undoing in the Premier League title race but the Gunners have been emphatic in recent weeks, inflicting 6-0 and 5-0 thumpings away to West Ham and Burnley on the back of a 3-1 success at home to title rivals Liverpool.

With Mikel Arteta’s flying forwards in high spirits, Group B winners Arsenal warrant odds-on favouritism but Porto deserve respect too after finishing runners-up to Barcelona in Group H, ending up level on 12 points with the Catalan giants.

Barcelona claimed top spot by virtue of winning both meetings in the group stage but Porto have responded with a ten-match unbeaten run on their own patch, winning nine of those fixtures.

Arsenal represent a hike in grade to the kind of opponents Porto are used to facing domestically but the Gunners’ defensive record on their travels, especially in the Champions League this season, should provide the Portuguese hosts with hope.

Arteta’s men eased past their group rivals PSV Eindhoven, Sevilla and Lens with home advantage at the Emirates Stadium, cruising to 4-0, 2-0 and 6-0 successes.

Yet things proved much tougher in the away fixtures as the Londoners saw both teams score on each occasion, losing 2-1 in France, winning 2-1 in Spain and drawing 1-1 in the Netherlands.

Arsenal have conceded in 11 of their last 14 away games in all competitions and, while their attacking gems may ensure they leave Portugal holding a first-leg lead, backing a glut of goals appeals most.

Porto were involved in some free-scoring encounters of their own in Group H with both teams scoring in four of their six matches and their group-stage campaign ending with a 5-3 win at home to Shakhtar.

Anything but a positive result for the Dragons could be fatal to their qualification aspirations and, although they have recorded clean sheets in five straight home games, keeping the rampant Gunners – and particularly the in-form Bukayo Saka – at bay looks beyond them.

Porto are in fine scoring form themselves, having netted 18 goals in seven matches, so there is plenty of incentive to back over 2.5 goals to land in Arsenal’s sixth straight match.

Key stat

Both teams have scored in each of Arsenal's last eight Champions League away games

Probable teams

Porto (4-2-3-1): Costa; Mario, Pepe, Cardoso, Wendell; Varela, Nico; Conceicao, Pepe Aquino, Galeno; Evanilson.
Subs: Taremi, Otavio, Sanchez, Gonzalez, Borges, Franco, Martinez, Jaime.

Arsenal (4-3-3): Raya; White, Saliba, Gabriel, Kiwior; Odegaard, Rice, Havertz; Saka, Trossard, Martinelli.
Subs: Vieira, Partey, Nketiah, Nelson, Smith Rowe, Jorginho, Elneny, Soares.

Inside info

Porto

Star man Evanilson
Top scorer Evanilson
Penalty taker Evanilson
Card magnet Francisco Conceicao
Assist ace Galeno
Set-piece aerial threat Pepe

Arsenal

Star man Bukayo Saka
Top scorer Bukayo Saka
Penalty taker Bukayo Saka
Card magnet Kai Havertz
Assist ace Martin Odegaard
Set-piece aerial threat Gabriel

Porto v Arsenal bet builder predictions

Bukayo Saka to score or assist
The Gunners hotshot has scored in four straight matches and his five appearances in the Champions League this season have yielded three goals and four assists.

Wendell to be shown a card
Wendell is likely to replace the injured Zaidu Sanusi at left-back and his duel with Saka could spell trouble for a player with six yellows and one red from 17 appearances this season.

Over 8.5 corners
This may be more entertaining than the markets imply and plenty of chances can contribute to plenty of corners. There have been nine or more flag-kicks in four of Arsenal's last five away matches.

Pays out at 8-1 with bet365

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