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Wednesday, 17 October, 2018

The Punt Daily: Tom Collins with three to follow on Friday

Clive Cox: trainer of Graphite Storm
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GOOD THING

Graphite Storm(3.50 Ascot)

Three-year-olds have won the last three runnings of this race but I don't like either of that year group's representatives here, and it could fall in the lap of Clive Cox's Graphite Storm. The son of Delegator has only had four starts this year as he's been waiting for cut in the ground, and duly bounced back to form when last seen finishing third to Squats at Newbury last month. That came off just a 1lb lower mark (the same rating that he won off at Leicester last year) and he remains well-treated. He's run well at the track before and is likely to be able to sit prominently.

EYECATCHER

Mullionheir(4.55 Ascot)

John Best's six-year-old, who won this race last year, has plummeted in the weights in the last three years (94 down to 76) and gets to race off his joint-lowest mark since May 2015, courtesy of another below-par effort at Newmarket last time out. I'm not sure the July course really suits him, but he did pass a number of beaten horses late in the day which indicates he could be ready to strike sooner rather than later. The booking of Silvestre de Sousa looks crucial and the race should be run to suit with plenty of early pace on courtesy of Shepherd's Purse.

DARK HORSE

Aeolus(3.00 Haydock)

Has struggled since winning the Group 3 Chipchase Stakes as a four-year-old in 2015, scoring just once since, but he remains a borderline Group-class sprinter when he gets his conditions and he should just prove much too classy for these rivals. Ed Walker's topweight needs a bit of cut in the ground– which he'll get here– and looks the most solid bet in the race. The main danger could be Mick Easterby's Rapid Applause, who faced a stiff task from a low draw at Sandown last time.


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He remains a borderline Group-class sprinter when he gets his conditions
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