Conqueress can rule the Toon off career-low handicap mark
BLAZED (4.45) didn’t quite stay 7f in his first two maidens, but he got closer than ever when dropped to 6f with a tongue-tie added at Doncaster last time out.
Roger Charlton’s gelding hit the front at the halfway point and tried his best to hold on, losing out only in the final furlong. He can get off the mark now that he moves into handicap company off a workable mark.
None of the five runners contesting the 1m3f104yds handicap can be safely ignored, but HIGH END (3.05) looks the one to beat.
Saeed Bin Suroor’s three-year-old made his debut only in July, but he won that Chelmsford maiden and has quickly added two handicaps, showing that turf was no problem when completing the hat-trick at Epsom recently. He had a bit in hand and this 8lb higher mark may not stop a horse who is bred to be top-class.
The Ed Walker-trained SIMPSON (2.35) came up short in his first three starts over 6f, but stepping up in trip after a gelding operation did the trick at Windsor last time out.
He looked one to keep in the notebook that day as he travelled well and had little trouble seeing off the in-form Go Now Go Now.
MANATEE BAY (2.55) was beaten in a seller at Catterick in July, but he produced a good performance to land a handicap at Carlisle last time out.
With a visor replacing the usual cheekpieces and Natalie Hambling taking a handy 7lb off his back, Noel Wilson’s charge showed a willing attitude to get up late.
He remains feasibly treated after a 3lb rise in the weights and should make a bold bid.
SABLE ISLAND (4.20) has been quite frustrating to follow, but he has regularly hit the frame this year and finally made the breakthrough at Chester last time out.
Sir Michael Stoute’s gelding enjoyed the strong pace that day and surged clear when asked for an effort in the home straight.
He is well bred, being out of a mare related to Hernando, and looks capable of further progress now that he has finally got his head in front.
CONQUERESS (9.10) can take advantage of a career-low mark in the finale.
Tom Dascombe’s filly has yet to win this year, but she is out of a dam who won on the all-weather and she did well last time when runner-up in a Windsor handicap.
It wasn’t ideal that she was taken on for the lead that day and she will be hard to catch if allowed to dictate.
The danger is Lady In Question, who won a Carlisle handicap last time.
Get tips for every race run in Britain from Tuesday to Sunday in this week's Racing & Football Outlook - out every Tuesday