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Thursday, 24 January, 2019

Windies middle-order man looks the value bet

England's Morgan can make impact at happy venue

Jason Mohammed goes on the attack in the first ODI against England
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Fifth ODI
Sky Sports Cricket, 12.30pm Friday

England's players and management probably have more pressing issues on their mind than a dead rubber against the West Indies but they are 2-9 to complete a 4-0 series victory at the Rose Bowl.

Ben Stokes’s arrest after a night out in Bristol overshadowed Wednesday’s Ashes squad announcement but the absence of Stokes and Alex Hales didn't stop England wrapping up the series in a thriller at The Oval.

Moeen Ali’s superbly timed counter-attack took the hosts ahead of the Duckworth/Lewis par score just before rain ended the contest and the Windies’ chances of a consolation win have been reduced by a foot injury to Evin Lewis.

The opener retired hurt after a sensational 176 off 130 balls and his teammates are 19-5 to cheer him up by winning the last international fixture of the English summer.

Best bets
The context of the game suggests stakes should be kept modest but the Windies have kept England up to their work at times during the series.

Moeen’s stunning century took the game away from the tourists in Bristol while he and Jos Buttler dragged England to a six-run Duckworth/Lewis win on Wednesday.

England certainly pose a threat with the new ball in late-summer condition and with the West Indies missing the injured Lewis – man of the match at The Oval – it could be worth chancing Jason Mohammed to top-score.

The middle-order man has played competent knocks of 38 and 46 in support of Chris Gayle and Lewis in the last two games but he is a powerful ball-striker in his own right.

He started 2017 with one-day scores of 72, 50, ten, 91 not out, one and 59 against England and Pakistan and looks overpriced at 8-1.

England captain Eoin Morgan has had a miserable run of scores, falling to an excellent catch for a 17-ball 19 at The Oval.

However, no player has scored more one-day runs at the Rose Bowl than Morgan and bet365’s performance line of 35.5 looks low enough – the left-hander has passed it in eight of his 11 one-day appearances at the venue.

J Mohammed top West Indies runscorer
1pt 8-1 Betfair, Paddy Power
E Morgan over 35.5 performance points
3pts 5-6 bet365

Team news
Stokes and Hales are unavailable after the incident in Bristol and Windies opener Lewis is out with a broken foot. 

England lost five ODIs in a row at the Rose Bowl between 2012 and 2015 but they have won their last two, including a two-run victory over South Africa this year.

There shouldn’t be many demons in the pitch although the team batting second have won only one of the last eight ODIs at the venue.

Sunny intervals, becoming more cloudy later in the afternoon. Dry, 18C.

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Mohammed played competent knocks of 38 and 46 in support of Chris Gayle and Lewis but he is a powerful ball-striker in his own right
E.W. Terms
Sky bet