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Wednesday, 21 November, 2018

Wednesday set to pile more misery on Rotherham

Owls can condemn relgated neighbours to another defeat

Sheffield Wednesday will hope to breathe life into their playoff bid
1 of 1

Sky Bet Championship
Sky Sports 1, 7.45pm Tuesday

Sheffield Wednesday missed out by one match on being the team to send Rotherham down but they should still enjoy piling the misery on at New York Stadium by condemning their neighbours to yet another defeat.

Relegated at the weekend after an eighth successive defeat – their
30th in 39 matches – the pressure is definitely off Paul Warne’s men but it doesn’t mean they are suddenly going to spark into life.

The Millers have been dire all season long, often starting games brightly, but with too many moments of comedic defending which have ultimately been their undoing. Eighty-eight goals conceded is simply pitiful.

They’re a massive price but no value given their current run. The one thing they had going for them at the start of the season was an ability to find the net but even that has stopped. Caretaker Warne has done nothing to stop the bleeding.

In recent matches against Wednesday they have been fairly luckless – the 3-2 home defeat two years ago springs to mind while December’s 1-0 loss at Hillsborough was something of a travesty.

And with the pressure ratcheting up on the Owls after one win in seven saw them drop out of the playoff places, they hardly represent much of a bet themselves.

The odds imply an away-day cruise for Wednesday yet the history of recent matches between these rivals suggests something much closer. The last seven have all been draws or won by a single goal.

Since Rotherham are the division’s second-lowest scorers and Wednesday matches average 2.3 goals per game, there’s a case for backing under 2.5 goals.

If we presume Rotherham simply cannot win and Wednesday have enough about them to get over the line, take the riskier proposition of an Owls win by one goal. Thirteen of their 18 wins have been by that margin.

Recommendation
Sheffield Wednesday to win by one goal
1pt 13-5 Betfair, Ladbrokes

Bet on this match at Soccerbase.com


Team news
Rotherham
Lee Frecklington (calf) is a doubt. Jonson Clarke-Harris is close to a return. First-choice keeper Lee Camp is out for the season.

Sheffield Wednesday
Sam Hutchinson picked up a calf strain at Barnsley and is a doubt. Kieran Lee, Ross Wallace, Fernando Forestieri and Will Buckley are out. Centre-back Vincent Sasso completes a ban.

Key stat
Rotherham have kept two clean sheets in their last 41 league games.

The Millers have been dire all season long, often starting games brightly, but with too many moments of comedic defending
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