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Thursday, 15 November, 2018

Venezuela value for World Cup final upset over England

Ademola Lookman will play for England in the Under-20 World Cup final
1 of 1

England v Venezuela
BBC2 & British Eurosport 2, 11am Sunday

Betting is all about value and only one country falls into that category when England meet Venezuela in the Under-20 World Cup final in Suwon.

England's South Korean adventure has been fantastic and the publicity has grown with every match to such an extent that the BBC are showing the final (in England only), but there appears to be some bias towards the young Three Lions even in a world of betting globalisation.

Consider this: both semi-finals (England v Italy and Uruguay v Venezuela) were were not far off being pick 'em affairs and the outright betting was extremely close with England and Uruguay both seen as joint-favourites at 5-2 with the others at 7-2.

Uruguay, many people's idea of the winners ante-post, were 17-10 to beat Venezuela on Thursday in a game that went to penalties so how can England be just a shade of odds-against?

Tiredness could be a factor for the South Americans, who have gone to at least extra-time in all three knockout matches but Venezuela have looked the business from the moment they beat Germany 2-0 in their opener.

Goalkeeper Wuilker Farinez has conceded only twice in the tournament and one of those was a penalty awarded in controversial circumstances by the video referee in the draw with Uruguay.

Farinez is one of four senior internationals in the squad and manager Rafael Dudamel has also dropped down from the top level even though this tournament coincided with two friendlies for the seniors.

Paul Simpson's England have done brilliantly to reach the final and big futures seem certain for Dominic Solanke, who has just left Chelsea for Liverpool, as well as Everton duo Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Ademola Lookman, while top judge Mauricio Pochettino is a big fan of Tottenham's Josh Onomah.

However, at the prices it is difficult to make a case for the favourites.

Recommendation
Venezuela draw no bet
1pt 13-8 bet365

There appears to be some betting bias towards the young Three Lions
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