UFC 321: Aspinall vs Gane predictions, betting tips and odds: Aspinall ready to put an early end to Gane's title hopes

UFC 321 date, start time & TV info 

Date Saturday, October 25
Starts Prelims 5pm; main card from 7pm
Venue Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi
TV TNT Sports Box Office (£19.99 PPV)

British fighter Tom Aspinall will put his heavyweight championship crown and his reputation on the line when he faces Ciryl Gane at UFC 321 on Saturday night.

Aspinall vs Gane headlines a stacked card at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, and Sky Bet are offering new customers enhanced odds for the main event. 

Click below to find out Sky Bet's Aspinall vs Gane offer, or read on for our UFC 321 predictions.

UFC 321 betting tips & predictions

Best bets

Tom Aspinall to win by KO, TKO, DQ or submission & under 2.5 total rounds
2pts Bet Builder 8-13 bet365

Alexander Volkov to win
1pt 13-8 bet365

Ikram Aliskerov to win by KO, TKO, DQ
1pt 12-5 Bet 365

Aspinall vs Gane betting odds

Sign up with Sky Bet to bet on UFC 321 and get 50-1 on Aspinall to win, or 80-1 on Gane.

Here are Sky Bet's latest odds for UFC 321's main event:

Odds correct at time of publishing

UFC 321 preview 

Tom Aspinall will finally get his big moment as the UFC’s undisputed heavyweight champion when he faces Ciryl Gane at UFC 321.

Previously the interim belt holder, Aspinall was elevated to full championship status in the summer following the retirement of Jon Jones.

The hard-hitting Englishman has had nine UFC fights, amassing a total cage time of just 1,121 seconds, which amounts to close to four full five-minute rounds.

Six of his eight wins have come via knockout and two by submission, and his last three victories all ended within 90 seconds of the referee's call to fight. 

However, since a 60-second knockout of Curtis Blaydes in July 2024, he has been inactive while waiting for a potential fight with Jones.

The Manchester clash with Blaydes marked a rare defence of the interim title, which Aspinall won when flattening then-feared Russian Sergei Pavlovich inside 70 seconds in November 2023.

For Gane, this will be his third shot at undisputed gold having lost to both Francis Ngannou and Jones, although he was crowned interim champion when knocking out Derrick Lewis in 2021.

The French fighter is a talented kickboxer with superb distance management, but he also hasn't been seen in the Octagon since last year, opting instead to pursue a starring role in a Netflix movie and modelling opportunities.

The 34-year-old was last seen in December, gaining a controversial win over Alexander Volkov after a 15-month absence.

Gane’s grappling has let him down on more than one occasion at the top level and, with Aspinall’s wrestling pedigree, he could run into more problems in Abu Dhabi.

Both men are more athletic and fleet-footed than most heavyweights, but Aspinall’s power and creation of angles when coming in could well be the difference. 

Aspinall has the edge in all departments and should be backed to remain the champion with a finish. He has never been beyond the second round in UFC, so adding in under 2.5 rounds offers an opportunity to boost the odds.

UFC 321 undercard details

Here is the main card for UFC 321, headlined by Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane:

UFC 321 undercard preview 

The rest of the UFC 321 card sees the women's strawweight championship clash between Virna Jandiroba and Mackenzie Dern, while heavy favourite Umar Nurmagomedov returns to face the red-hot Mario Bautista at Bantamweight.

An interesting heavyweight fight on the main card features Alexander Volkov as the underdog against Jailton Almeida.

Volkov lost a controversial split decision to Gane last December, breaking a run of four straight wins, including against Sergei Pavlovich and Jairzinho Rozenstruik.

Although Almeida is a talented grappler, he could find problems unless takedowns come easy, which could be difficult against the tricky 6ft 7in Russian.

Ikram Aliskerov can record another finish in front of a partisan crowd against Jun-Yong Park.

Aliskerov has three first-round stoppages to his name in the UFC, while his only defeat came when stepping up to face former middleweight champion Robert Whittaker at short notice last June. 

Park has a come-forward style with solid grappling, but has yet to find a finish on the feet in nine UFC wins, which will give Aliskerov even more confidence in his striking. 

Aliskerov feels beyond this level of competition already and his power advantage in the stand-up and supreme combat sambo grappling is tipping the scales in favour of another finish. 

Want more top sports betting advice? Make sure you take a look at Racing Post Sport's tips for more of the latest picks from our experts.

FAQs for UFC 321

When is UFC 321?

UFC 321 takes place on Saturday, October 25.

Where is UFC 321?

UFC 321 will be held at the Eithad Arena in Abu Dhabi, UAE.

How can I watch UFC 321?

Viewers in the UK and Ireland can watch via TNT Sports pay-per-view service. The fight is priced at £19.99.

What is the fight betting for Aspinall vs Gane?

Tom Aspinall is Paddy Power's 1-4 favourite with Ciryl Gane 11-4 to pull off the upset.

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Joseph Parker vs Fabio Wardley predictions, betting tips and odds: Class can tell at the O2 

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