French Open men's singles outright winner odds, predictions and tennis betting tips: Defending champion too hot to handle

When does the French Open men's singles start

The French Open begins at Roland Garros in Paris, at 10am on Sunday, May 25.

Where to watch the French Open men's singles in the UK

Live on TNT Sports 1 & 4 & Discovery+ from 10am on Sunday

Best bets for the French Open men's singles

Carlos Alcaraz to win the French Open
3pts 6-5 bet365

Francisco Cerundolo to win the second quarter
1pt 11-2 Coral, Ladbrokes

French Open men's title odds:

Here are the latest odds for the women's French Open with William Hill:

Odds correct at time of publishing

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French Open men's singles predictions

The last five Grand Slam titles have gone the way of either Jannik Sinner or Carlos Alcaraz and bookmakers are expecting more of the same at this year's French Open, where it is 12-1 bar the big two.

Alcaraz defeated Sinner in the semi-final at Roland Garros last season before outlasting Alexander Zverev in a thrilling five-set title decider and the Spaniard looks a difficult man to stop in the defence of his crown.

The 22-year-old quashed any injury concerns by winning silverware in Rome last week, comfortably silencing Sinner in his own backyard, 7-6 6-1 in the final, after previously easing past top British talent Jack Draper and a much-improved Lorenzo Musetti.

Having also lifted the Monte Carlo Masters in April, Alcaraz has now won all four of the showpiece clay-court competitions and ten of his 19 ATP Tour titles have come on this slower terrain.

Compare that to only one clay-court title for Sinner, which came at the Croatia Open back in 2022, then it is clear who copes best with the tougher conditions and the Italian also has to prove that he is currently sharp enough to cope with the gruelling demands of a Grand Slam.

Sinner’s return in Rome was his first tournament appearance since he won the Australian Open in January, with the world number one forced to face three months on the sidelines due to a doping ban.

It is possible that the top seed comes on for his recent spin on home soil, but he has some tough obstacles in his way and his five French Open appearances have yielded only one semi-final appearance.

Sinner’s top half of the draw looks stacked as it features last year’s runner-up Zverev, 24-time Grand Slam champion Novak Djokovic and rising star Draper, who has been one of the season’s standout performers with victory at the Indian Wells Open and a runner-up effort to Casper Ruud on the clay in Madrid.

Alcaraz, in contrast, is fancied to blow his opposition away in the bottom half as his biggest tests arguably stem from two-time runner-up Ruud, 2021 finalist Stefanos Tsitsipas and Musetti.

However, Alcaraz’s record against those three opponents combined stands at 15-2 and Sinner’s return to the ATP Tour appears to have shifted his focus with everything seemingly in place for him to claim a fifth Grand Slam title.

Sinner may find the required level to reach the final but he is unlikely to receive a warm reception like he did in Rome and he faces two Frenchmen in his opening two matches, while home favourite Arthur Fils could be a dangerous lurker in the fourth round.

The second quarter makes for an intriguing betting heat and world number 18 Francisco Cerundolo looks primed to serve it up to Zverev and Djokovic, with a semi-final run potentially in the offing.

The Argentinian lost in five sets to Djokovic in the fourth round last season, having fallen in another marathon match against Holger Rune at the same stage in 2023, but has improved markedly since and is very much a clay-court specialist.

Cerundolo has made five clay-court finals on the ATP Tour and he has had an excellent preparation for Paris, highlighted by semi-final runs in both Munich and Madrid.

Zverev has largely underwhelmed since making the Australian Open final - he was beaten by world number 40 Alexandre Muller in the second round in Hamburg last time out - and he has lost all three clay-court meetings with potential last-16 rival Cerundolo.

Djokovic, on the other hand, suffered first-round eliminations to Alejandro Tabilo in Monte Carlo and Matteo Arnaldi in Madrid to suggest the 38-year-old is a fading force and he may need plenty to falter for him to figure.

With Taylor Fritz at his best under quicker conditions, one of Musetti or Rune should come through the third quarter, but that is illustrated by the market.

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