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Tuesday, 18 December, 2018

Rebels can make bold bid for fourth win at Waratahs

Reds may not contain Los Jaguares in Buenos Aires

Amanaki Mafi goes on the charge for the Rebels against the Brumbies
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Los Jaguares v Reds
Sky Sports Action, 1.05pm Saturday

Los Jaguares found their form against the Waratahs at the fourth time of asking last week with a vibrant 38-28 success and they are worth a wager to follow up with a victory by nine points or more over the Reds.

The Reds have ground out two narrow Suncorp successes over the Brumbies and Bulls but were walloped 45-19 in their opener at the Rebels.

Los Jaguares won 22-8 in Buenos Aires last season.

Max Oram's recommendation
Los Jaguares -8
1pt 10-11 Betfair, Paddy Power

Waratahs v Rebels
Sky Sports Action, 5.05am Sunday

The Waratahs walloped the Rebels in both meetings last season but these Melbourne men look a reborn outfit and are the bet with a three-point start.

The Rebels are three from three and have scored tries for fun in dispatching the Reds, Sunwolves and Brumbies and they prevailed in Sydney 21-16 in 2016 and were only edged out 18-16 in 2015.

The Tahs return to Sydney, where they struggled to put distance between themselves and the Stormers in round two, after drawing with the Sharks in Durban and two late tries made the scoreline of their defeat in Buenos Aires look better than it should have. 

Max Oram's recommendation
Rebels +3.5
1pt 5-6 Betfair

Stormers v Blues
Sky Sports Action, 1.05pm Saturday

The Blues are narrow favourites against a team who have won nine of their last ten regular-season games on home soil - the one defeat was to last year's beaten finalists the Lions.

Three defeats on the bounce in Australia and New Zealand have left the Cape Town outfit towards the bottom of the table but they can make the best of a four-point start against a Blues team who stunned the Lions in Johannesburg last week.

Graham Woods's recommendation
Stormers +4
1pt 10-11 Sky Bet

Lions v Sunwolves
Sky Sports Arena, 3.15pm Saturday

This would have been a tough assignment for the Sunwolves at any time, but taking on the Lions after they have just suffered a shock home defeat and are gunning for revenge makes it even harder.

The Johannesburg side have been leaky in defence - only the teams placed 12th and lower have conceded more than their 119 points - so total points lines in the 70s should not surprise.

The visitors look set to be well beaten but can score enough points of their own to stop the margin becoming a gulf.

Graham Woods's recommendation
Lions to win by 21 to 30 points
1pt 7-2 general

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The Rebels are three from three and have scored tries for fun in dispatching the Reds, Sunwolves and Brumbies
E.W. Terms
Sky bet