New Zealand vs South Africa: Rugby Championship predictions, team news, betting tips and odds

New Zealand vs South Africa date, start time & TV info 

Date Saturday, September 13
Starts 8.05am
Venue Sky Stadium, Wellington
Competition Rugby Championship
TV Sky Sports+ & Main Event

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New Zealand vs South Africa betting tips & predictions

Best bet

South Africa
1pt 7-4 Hills

New Zealand vs South Africa preview 

South Africa will be licking their wounds after defeat to New Zealand at Eden Park last weekend, but the 2025 Rugby Championship schedule offers a chance for a reprieve when the Springboks face the All Blacks in Wellington on Saturday morning.

New Zealand have not been beaten in a Test match at Eden Park since 1994 and once again the famous Auckland venue witnessed a home victory last weekend as the All Blacks triumphed 24-17.

South Africa almost produced a late comeback to end their long wait for victory at that venue, which stretches all the way back to 1937, but New Zealand managed to grind out the win to remain top of the Rugby Championship standings after the first three rounds.

While Eden Park has proved to be a fortress for the All Blacks over the years, the same can’t be said for Saturday’s venue, Sky Stadium.

Rassie Erasmus has managed only a narrow win and a draw in his two Tests in Wellington as Springboks head coach, with a 16-16 draw in 2019, while South Africa won 36-34 in 2018.

Such is the strength in depth in the Boks’ squad that Erasmus has named a new-look backline and also named his squad well ahead of schedule as some sort of statement to his players and perhaps the opposition.

Putting all of their cards on the table early, South Africa will know that if they can put in an 80-minute performance, they can claim the win that will keep their Rugby Championship title hopes alive.

New Zealand vs South Africa team news and predicted line-ups 

New Zealand

Winger Leroy Carter will become New Zealand's ninth debutant of 2025 on Saturday as he takes up his place on the left wing for the All Blacks. 

Noah Hotham has recovered from injury and will start at scrum-half.

Starting line-up: 15 D McKenzie, 14 W Jordan, 13 B Proctor, 12 J Barrett, 11 L Carter; 10 B Barrett, 9 N Hotham; 1 E de Groot, 2 S Taukei'ahi, 3 T Lomax, 4 S Barrett (c), 5 T Vaa'i, 6 S Parker, 7 A Savea, 8 W Sititi. 

Substitutes: 16 B McAlister, 17 T Williams, 18 F Newell, 19 F Holland, 20 D Kirifi, 21 F Christie, 22 Q Tupaea, 23 R Love. 

South Africa

The Springboks have made seven changes to their starting 15 following the 24-17 loss to the All Blacks in Auckland last week.

Ethan Hooker will make his debut for the world champions on the left wing.

Starting line-up: 15 A Fassi, 14 C Kolbe, 13, C Moodie, 12 D Willemse, 11 E Hooker; 10 S Feinberg-Mngomezulu, 9 C Reinach; 1 O Nche, 2 M Marx, 3 T du Toit, 4 L de Jager, 5 R Nortje, 6 S Kolisi (c), 7 P-S du Toit, 8 J Wiese.

Substitutes: 16 M van der Merwe, 17 J-H Wessels, 18 W Louw, 19 RG Snyman, 20 K Smith, 21 G Williams, 22 M Libbok, 23 A Esterhuizen.

New Zealand vs South Africa betting odds

Here are the latest odds for New Zealand vs Argentina in the Rugby Championship.

Odds correct at time of publishing

Want more top sports betting advice? Make sure you take a look at Racing Post Sport's tips for more of the latest picks from our experts.

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Read more:

Australia v Argentina: Rugby Championship predictions, team news, betting tips and odds 

Super League: Leigh vs St Helens & Wigan vs Castleford   

FAQs for New Zealand vs South Africa

When is New Zealand vs South Africa?

New Zealand will host South Africa in round four of the Rugby Championship on Saturday, September 13.

Where is New Zealand vs South Africa being played?

The All Blacks and Springboks meet at Sky Stadium in Wellington.

What is the match betting for New Zealand vs South Africa?

Rugby Championship leaders New Zealand are 8-15 favourites with South Africa available at 7-4. The draw is 22-1.

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