State of Origin III: Queensland v New South Wales rugby league betting tips

Free rugby league tips, best bets and analysis for State of Origin III tips which starts on Wednesday morning.

Where to watch

Queensland v New South Wales
Sky Sports Arena, 11am Wednesday

Best bet

New South Wales to win by one to 12 points
1pt 9-5 bet365

State of Origin III preview

New South Wales hit back in a big way in the second match of this year's State of Origin series to set up a winner-takes-all blockbuster in Brisbane on Wednesday.

The Blues, chasing a fourth Origin series success in five years, were emphatic 44-12 victors in Game Two in Perth, having been edged out 16-10 in the series opener at their Sydney stronghold.

Understandably, Blues coach Brad Fittler has kept changes to a bare minimum with the only switch seeing Newcastle Knights enforcer Jacob Saifiti making his Origin debut in place of injured prop Payne Haas.

Bookmakers believe New South Wales will again exert their class on proceedings and, while that may well be the case, history is certainly not on their side.

Brisbane has hosted 12 previous series deciders and the Blues have won only two of them, in 2005 and 1994.

On both occasions NSW were seeking to complete a turnaround after losing the first clash of the series, as they are this year, and while they are certainly worthy favourites, getting with them to win by one to 12 points is probably the best angle for punters.

Blowout scorelines such as we saw in Game Two are not that common in the intense Origin rivalry and with the state supremacy on the line, a fired-up Queensland roared on by a boisterous Brisbane crowd should make the favourites work for victory.

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