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Wednesday, 21 November, 2018

Rahm looks poised to hunt down Reed

An should better Molinari

Jon Rahm is one back at Eagle Point
1 of 1

Final round
Sky Sports 4, 6pm

The story so far

US Ryder Cup star Patrick Reed has been in a slump since his Hazeltine heroics but the confident 26-year-old is bidding to return to the PGA Tour winner's enclosure and he has a one-shot lead heading into the final round of the Wells Fargo Championship at Eagle Point.

Reed, who missed three consecutive cuts before a top-20 finish in the Zurich Classic, is an 18-5 shot to land a sixth tour title and a first since the Barclays last year.

The Texan carded the joint-lowest score of the third round to move to eight under par and take the lead but he has a pair of class acts on his tail in the shape of Alex Noren and Racing Post Sport outright pick Jon Rahm, who are one shot back.

Seung-Yul Noh, Brian Harman, Vaughn Taylor and Francesco Molinari are two behind with a clutch of players on five under. Pre-tournament favourite Dustin Johnson, playing his first event since injuring his back before the Masters, is four behind the leader.


-8 Patrick Reed
-7 Alex Noren, Jon Rahm
-6 Seung-Yul Noh, Brian Harman, Vaughn Taylor, Francesco Molinari
-5 Byeong Hun An, Zac Blair, Kevin Tway, Pat Perez, Nick Taylor, Billy Hurley
-4 Phil Mickelson, David Lingmerth, Graeme McDowell, Morgan Hoffman, Dustin Johnson

Best prices

3 J Rahm, 18-5 P Reed, 15-2 A Noren, 10 F Molinari, 12 D Johnson, 20 B Harman, 28 S-Y Noh, V Taylor, 33 B An, P Perez, P Mickelson, 40 bar.

Today's advice

Patrick Reed is a fantastic golfer and the Texan should take all the beating but there is plenty of quality in behind him.

The 26-year-old typically rises to the occasion but his poor form has been a concern all season. He needs to prove that he is back to his best and, if he does, he is a massive runner at a fair price.

However, Reed will have to work hard to repel the challenges of Alex Noren, who won four times on the European Tour last year, and Jon Rahm, who delivered on his considerable promise to land the Farmers Insurance Open in January.

There's more to come from Rahm and he could be the one to lay down the gauntlet to Reed. The exciting Spaniard has been consistent at Eagle Point this week while Reed has taken the lead based on two solid rounds and a fantastic third-round display.

The chasing pack will do well to stay with the front three and the likes of Dustin Johnson and Phil Mickelson will have to produce something special if they are to force their way into the picture.

There's scope for someone to spring from the pack but it's hard to see every member of the leading trio failing to perform.

Rahm looks the most likely candidate to hunt down Read. The 22-year-old has shot 68 or lower on four occasions in his last six final-rounds on the PGA Tour, including the sparkling 65 that won the Farmers.

It will be a surprise if he doesn't go low again at Eagle Point and anyone who took 12-1 ante-post about Rahm is in a strong position. He still looks a big price at 3-1. 

Threeball punters are pointed towards Byeong Hun An in his 6.15pm match against Francesco Molinari. There's not a lot between them as far as ability is concerned and the usually-consistent Molinari followed up an excellent opening 66 with two disappointing 72s. 

An has gradually improved over his three rounds and the classy Korean looks value to shoot lower than the Italian.

Already advised by Ian Wilkerson
J Rahm
2pts each-way 12-1

B An to win twoball
2pts 13-10 Betfred

There's scope for someone to spring from the pack but it's hard to see every member of the leading trio failing to perform
E.W. Terms
Sky bet