Queensland v New South Wales betting preview, tip and TV details
Maroons could struggle in Perth
TV: Sky Sports Arena, 10.50am Sunday
Queensland did what they nearly always do in State of Orgin - win at the Suncorp Stadium in Brisbane - and although they went 1-0 up in game one with a 18-14 victory they may find it hard to wrap up the three-game series in game two on neutral territory in Perth.
It was an impressive win for the Maroons, who started the series as underdogs and had to battle back from an 8-0 half-time deficit in the opening encounter.
They're 4-7 favourites with Betway to win their 12th shield in 14 contests but bookmakers are finding the sides harder to separate in game two.
It's evens your-choice on the 80-minute market with New South Wales slight favourites on the handicap conceding two points to their rivals.
Blues coach Brad Fittler has gambled by making seven changes to his side in a bid to save the series and it's unlikely they will play as badly as they did in the second half at Suncorp.
Fittler has opted for an all-Penrith halves combination, with James Maloney joining game one half-back Nathan Cleary, while Daniel Saifiti and Dale Finucane will make their debuts, with Tom Trbojevic, Tariq Sims, Blake Ferguson and Wade Graham all recalled.
The Maroons have a more settled unit with forwards Tim Glasby and Jarrod Wallace replacing injured pair Jai Arrow and Joe Ofahengaue, although what shape Moses Mbye is in come game time remains to be seen.
The Wests Tigers captain suffered anaphylactic shock in his hotel room on Friday night and had to be revived by the Queensland doctor. Mbye has been cleared to play but it's hard to see him being in peak condition.
It's not great preparation for the Maroons, though, and the best bet looks to be supporting a narrow New South Wales win in what could be a tight encounter in slippery conditions.
There's plenty of rain forecast to fall in Perth over the weekend and it may also pay to throw a dart at the match featuring less than 35 points. Five of the last ten middle matches have made up under that mark.
2pts 13-10 bet365
Under 34.5 total match points
2pts 8-13 Paddy Power
NSW to win series
5pts 4-7 bet365
Follow us on Twitter @racingpostsport
Like us on Facebook RacingPostSport