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Paratore should make a strong finish in Munich

Leader Garcia could face a weak BMW challenge

Italy's Renato Paratore
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Day Four Preview
Sky Sports 4, 11am Sunday

Masters champion Sergio Garcia shares the lead with England's Richard Bland after three round of the BMW International and it is no surprise to see the Spaniard just 5-6 to claim the crown in Germany.

Not only has Garcia moved imperiously to 13-under-par, but there is such a lack of winning experience among his closest rivals that it is difficult to see from where a challenge can be realistically expected.

Bland rode his luck to stay at the top of the leaderboard, having posted a birdie on the 11th hole which included a chip from water and he then holed out from the fairway two holes later.

But there have to be huge questions about a player still looking for his first European Tour success after 410 attempts lasting the course.

The case for others within touching distance is also weak. Swede Joakim Lagergren is a shot behind but his second in the Qatar Masters was the only time he has posted a top-20 finish in his last 12 outings.

Maeanwhile, Thomas Detry has done little since his third place in last year's Alfred Dunhill Championship and while Andre Romero and Hennie Otto are in relatively close attendance, their recent form has been miserable and they could be content with a decent finish.

There is an alternative bet to getting stuck into a golfer at odds-on with a quarter of the tournament left to play and that is to support young Italian Renato Paratore to claim a top-five finish.

While some of his rivals may be getting a headache so high up the leaderboard, it is only two weeks since he finished at the top of the pile at the Nordea Masters.

With four shots to make up on the leading pack, it is realistic that he is 50-1 for outright glory, but he should still claim a strong finish.

He bogeyed the third hole on Saturday but recovered well with six birdies and with three of those coming in the final four holes, he should be buzzing to get back out on the course.

He has recovered well from any setback this week and he can take advantage if his rivals further up the board struggle, so he looks a decent bet to finish in the top five.

Recommendation
R Paratore top-five finish
1pt 19-5 Coral

 

But there have to be huge questions about a player still looking for his first European Tour success after 410 attempts lasting the course
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