NFL Sunday Week 12: predictions, betting preview and free tips for NFL matches

Free NFL picks, best bets and analysis for Week 12 of the 2020 NFL season.

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts

Where to watch

Sky Sports NFL, 6pm Sunday

Best bet

Tennessee +3.5
1pt 17-20 Betfair

Match preview

The live offering from Sky Sports starts with a potentially cracking clash at the top of the AFC South.

Tennessee and Indianapolis have seven wins from their opening ten matches, but in running back Derrick Henry, the Titans have a player who could be the difference at Lucas Oil Stadium.

The Colts beat their divisional rivals 24-10 a fortnight ago but the bustling Henry put up more than 100 yards and Indianapolis's defence, which is the third-best against the run in the league, could be severely tested again.

Tennessee are also boosted by an overtime win over Baltimore last week and have been particularly tidy offensively, conceding just five turnovers in the entire campaign.

The Titans defence will have to raise their game to put pressure on Colts quarterback Philip Rivers - they are ranked the third-worst team in terms of sacks - but there is definitely scope for them to stay within a field goal in such a key game.

Key stats

• Tennessee have covered the handicap in six of their last seven matches against teams with winning records.
• The points total has gone over the line in seven of Tennessee's last nine games.
• Tennessee have conceded at least 24 points in seven of their last nine matches

Kansas City Chiefs at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Where to watch

Sky Sports NFL, 9.25pm Sunday

Best bet

Kansas City -3
2pts 20-23 Hills

Match preview

Kansas City are making a great fist of successfully defending their Super Bowl title and they should be able to boost their record to 10-1 by defying a poor historic record in Tampa Bay.

The Chiefs have lost on four of their last five visits to the Buccaneers, but they could be facing Tom Brady and company at just the right time.

Patrick Mahomes steered Kansas City to a late AFC West divisional win over the Las Vegas Raiders last time out and continues to produce inspirational performances.

Kansas City have posted an average of 36.5 points per game in their last four outings, while there are concerns that Brady may be struggling.

The game's most decorated quarterback has thrown a total of five interceptions in his last three matches and the Bucs can ill afford to provide the Chiefs attack with any unforced opportunities.

Key stats

• The points total has gone over the line in eight of Tampa Bay's last 11 home games.
• Kansas City have lost on four of their last five visits to Raymond James Stadium.
• The Chiefs have lost just one of their ten matches this season.

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers

Where to watch

Sky Sports NFL, 1.15am Sunday night

Best bet

Under 45 points
2pts 10-11 bet365, Hills

Match preview

Green Bay could make a big stride towards the NFC North title with a victory over their biggest rivals, but Chicago's best hope probably rests on a strong defensive performance so this may not be a thriller.

The Bears' main problem has been at quarterback as Mitchell Trubisky and Nick Foles have both had their troubles and Windy City fans will hope a week off will have given coach Matt Nagy the chance to get a grip of the situation.

Running back David Montgomery has also been struggling with concussion so it is on the other side of the ball where their best hope of success probably lies.

They have covered the handicap in just three of their last ten road matches, but perhaps a more telling statistic is that six of their last seven matches have all gone under the points line.

Expect this one to go the same way, even if the total of 45 appears quite a modest one.

Key stats

• Green Bay have won nine of their last ten matches at Lambeau Field.
• The Bears have scored more than 20 points in just one of their last seven matches.
• The points total has gone under in six of Chicago's last seven matches

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